人類已經走到終點？

在《財富》（Fortune）的頭腦風暴能源大會上，投資者杰里米?格蘭瑟姆對與會者表示，人類如今要為了下個世紀的生存“策馬狂奔”。

本周一，這位77歲的資金經理在加利福尼亞州卡爾斯巴德的會場表示：“人類已經存在了約30萬年，農業也有1.2萬年的歷史。但現在這100年來，整個游戲已經快到尾聲了。”他說這不只是氣候變暖的問題，但氣候變暖加速了這個過程。

格蘭瑟姆表示，對于用科技解決能源問題，他比大多數環境專家要樂觀得多，但對于在不斷變化的氣候狀況下養活全球迅速增長的人口，他比大多數科技專家要悲觀得多。“兩群人都低估了好消息和壞消息。”所以，他表示：“這就是一場賽馬。”

《財富》的編輯布萊恩?奧基夫問格蘭瑟姆誰會贏得勝利，格蘭瑟姆回答道：“兩邊五五開。”（財富中文網）

譯者：嚴匡正

Investor Jeremy Grantham told participants at Fortune’s Brainstorm E conference that mankind is now in the “race of our lives” to survive the next century.

“We’ve been around for 300,000 years. We’ve had agriculture for 12,000 years,” the 77-year-old money manager said on Monday in Carlsbad, Calif. “Yet we’ve come down to just 100 years where the whole game is playing out.” He said it’s not just that the climate is warming, but that climate warming is accelerating.

Grantham says he is far more optimistic about technology’s ability to solve energy problems than most environmentalists. But he is also far more pessimistic about the ability to feed a rapidly growing global population, given changing climate patterns, than most technologists. “Both groups underestimate the good news or the bad news.” As a result, he said, “it’s going to be quite a horse race.”

Asked by Fortune Editor Brian O’Keefe who would win, Grantham replied: “It’s fifty-fifty.”