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          散戶開始左右美國股市

          Bernhard Warner
          2021-07-02

          某項(xiàng)指標(biāo)顯示,現(xiàn)在散戶的交易量幾乎相當(dāng)于共同基金和對(duì)沖基金的日交易量之和。

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          網(wǎng)紅股票大幅上漲。TikTok里有數(shù)不盡的股票解說員。“山姆大叔”的“stimmies”(經(jīng)濟(jì)刺激支票)變成了“tendies”(巨額投資回報(bào))。

          華爾街老將對(duì)家里蹲投資者的異軍突起感到困惑,這股投資勢(shì)力不知道源自何方,似乎從天而降。我們知道,這股投資勢(shì)力能夠把GameStop和AMC娛樂(AMC Entertainment)等受到新冠肺炎疫情沖擊的企業(yè)股票推上歷史新高,再讓它們從高處跌落,也可以推動(dòng)加密貨幣實(shí)現(xiàn)一輪又一輪的上漲,卻不知道他們的動(dòng)機(jī)是什么。

          為了找到答案,Betterment訪問了1500名投資者,包括大批使用該公司熱門投資和個(gè)人理財(cái)APP的投資者。我們能夠透過調(diào)查結(jié)果來了解這些散戶投資者的投資策略,看看刺激支票和資本利得稅的作用,預(yù)判一下他們?cè)谝咔榻Y(jié)束后會(huì)否繼續(xù)保持對(duì)交易的熱情。

          散戶交易的增長(zhǎng)確實(shí)令人矚目。某項(xiàng)指標(biāo)顯示,現(xiàn)在散戶的交易量幾乎相當(dāng)于共同基金和對(duì)沖基金的日交易量之和。

          從Betterment的調(diào)查來看,這是一個(gè)充滿新手投資者的市場(chǎng)。近一半(49%)的受訪者表示,他們的投資經(jīng)驗(yàn)還不足兩年。

          毋庸置疑,交易股票和其他資產(chǎn)都需要應(yīng)付各種不熟悉的繁文縟節(jié),比如稅收。大約七分之一(14%)的受訪者表示,不知道有短期資本利得稅這種東西。值得稱贊的是,60%的人說,他們知道這些討人厭的稅收會(huì)影響投資利潤(rùn),也確實(shí)會(huì)因此調(diào)整持股時(shí)間。

          至于怎么找、在哪里找股票投資消息的問題,他們主要依靠平常在推特(Twitter)、TikTok和WallStreetBets等Reddit論壇上沖浪時(shí)聽到看到的信息。

          調(diào)查結(jié)果顯示,社交媒體渠道是這個(gè)群體獲得投資建議的第三大沃土。它們的排名僅次于財(cái)經(jīng)新聞網(wǎng)站(《財(cái)富》雜志的財(cái)經(jīng)和市場(chǎng)記者應(yīng)當(dāng)為此感到高興)。

          Betterment報(bào)告的作者對(duì)這些調(diào)查結(jié)果發(fā)出了警告。

          “超過一半的受訪者表示,他們的擇股依據(jù)是因?yàn)槭煜み@個(gè)公司的名字。這曾經(jīng)出現(xiàn)過問題,比如‘股票代碼不匹配’,即人們交易的股票代碼不是想交易的公司。”報(bào)告作者指出,“比如,埃隆?馬斯克發(fā)過一條關(guān)于Signal公司(一個(gè)非營利性的即時(shí)通訊應(yīng)用程序)的推特,另一家公司的股價(jià)卻因此飆升了3092%。”

          其他調(diào)查結(jié)果還包括:

          ? 接受調(diào)查的散戶中67%把自己的刺激支票資金用于投資。

          ? 97%的受訪者表示,他們將繼續(xù)投資GameStop、黑莓(BlackBerry)和AMC娛樂等網(wǎng)紅股票。

          ? 34%的受訪者表示,投資是他們主要儲(chǔ)蓄方式,超過了支票賬戶(32%)和高收益儲(chǔ)蓄賬戶(30%)。

          盡管這份報(bào)告針對(duì)這一大家知之甚少的細(xì)分市場(chǎng)提供了某種程度上細(xì)致微妙的調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù),但作者們?nèi)匀徊淮_定,這種現(xiàn)象在未來幾年將以何種形式出現(xiàn)。

          他們寫道:“在Betterment,我們經(jīng)常把日內(nèi)交易比作去拉斯維加斯——玩得開心,玩得盡興,但要做好準(zhǔn)備,你帶回家的可能是變薄的錢包,還有宿醉。”

          “這份報(bào)告總結(jié)的趨勢(shì)似乎表明,越來越多的人開始涉足投資領(lǐng)域,而且(目前為止)沒有什么人準(zhǔn)備退出。”他們指出,“這一趨勢(shì)是否會(huì)持續(xù),會(huì)給人們的財(cái)務(wù)、健康、壓力帶來什么樣的長(zhǎng)期影響,仍然有待觀察。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

          譯者:Agatha

          網(wǎng)紅股票大幅上漲。TikTok里有數(shù)不盡的股票解說員。“山姆大叔”的“stimmies”(經(jīng)濟(jì)刺激支票)變成了“tendies”(巨額投資回報(bào))。

          華爾街老將對(duì)家里蹲投資者的異軍突起感到困惑,這股投資勢(shì)力不知道源自何方,似乎從天而降。我們知道,這股投資勢(shì)力能夠把GameStop和AMC娛樂(AMC Entertainment)等受到新冠肺炎疫情沖擊的企業(yè)股票推上歷史新高,再讓它們從高處跌落,也可以推動(dòng)加密貨幣實(shí)現(xiàn)一輪又一輪的上漲,卻不知道他們的動(dòng)機(jī)是什么。

          為了找到答案,Betterment訪問了1500名投資者,包括大批使用該公司熱門投資和個(gè)人理財(cái)APP的投資者。我們能夠透過調(diào)查結(jié)果來了解這些散戶投資者的投資策略,看看刺激支票和資本利得稅的作用,預(yù)判一下他們?cè)谝咔榻Y(jié)束后會(huì)否繼續(xù)保持對(duì)交易的熱情。

          散戶交易的增長(zhǎng)確實(shí)令人矚目。某項(xiàng)指標(biāo)顯示,現(xiàn)在散戶的交易量幾乎相當(dāng)于共同基金和對(duì)沖基金的日交易量之和。

          從Betterment的調(diào)查來看,這是一個(gè)充滿新手投資者的市場(chǎng)。近一半(49%)的受訪者表示,他們的投資經(jīng)驗(yàn)還不足兩年。

          毋庸置疑,交易股票和其他資產(chǎn)都需要應(yīng)付各種不熟悉的繁文縟節(jié),比如稅收。大約七分之一(14%)的受訪者表示,不知道有短期資本利得稅這種東西。值得稱贊的是,60%的人說,他們知道這些討人厭的稅收會(huì)影響投資利潤(rùn),也確實(shí)會(huì)因此調(diào)整持股時(shí)間。

          至于怎么找、在哪里找股票投資消息的問題,他們主要依靠平常在推特(Twitter)、TikTok和WallStreetBets等Reddit論壇上沖浪時(shí)聽到看到的信息。

          調(diào)查結(jié)果顯示,社交媒體渠道是這個(gè)群體獲得投資建議的第三大沃土。它們的排名僅次于財(cái)經(jīng)新聞網(wǎng)站(《財(cái)富》雜志的財(cái)經(jīng)和市場(chǎng)記者應(yīng)當(dāng)為此感到高興)。

          Betterment報(bào)告的作者對(duì)這些調(diào)查結(jié)果發(fā)出了警告。

          “超過一半的受訪者表示,他們的擇股依據(jù)是因?yàn)槭煜み@個(gè)公司的名字。這曾經(jīng)出現(xiàn)過問題,比如‘股票代碼不匹配’,即人們交易的股票代碼不是想交易的公司。”報(bào)告作者指出,“比如,埃隆?馬斯克發(fā)過一條關(guān)于Signal公司(一個(gè)非營利性的即時(shí)通訊應(yīng)用程序)的推特,另一家公司的股價(jià)卻因此飆升了3092%。”

          其他調(diào)查結(jié)果還包括:

          ? 接受調(diào)查的散戶中67%把自己的刺激支票資金用于投資。

          ? 97%的受訪者表示,他們將繼續(xù)投資GameStop、黑莓(BlackBerry)和AMC娛樂等網(wǎng)紅股票。

          ? 34%的受訪者表示,投資是他們主要儲(chǔ)蓄方式,超過了支票賬戶(32%)和高收益儲(chǔ)蓄賬戶(30%)。

          盡管這份報(bào)告針對(duì)這一大家知之甚少的細(xì)分市場(chǎng)提供了某種程度上細(xì)致微妙的調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù),但作者們?nèi)匀徊淮_定,這種現(xiàn)象在未來幾年將以何種形式出現(xiàn)。

          他們寫道:“在Betterment,我們經(jīng)常把日內(nèi)交易比作去拉斯維加斯——玩得開心,玩得盡興,但要做好準(zhǔn)備,你帶回家的可能是變薄的錢包,還有宿醉。”

          “這份報(bào)告總結(jié)的趨勢(shì)似乎表明,越來越多的人開始涉足投資領(lǐng)域,而且(目前為止)沒有什么人準(zhǔn)備退出。”他們指出,“這一趨勢(shì)是否會(huì)持續(xù),會(huì)給人們的財(cái)務(wù)、健康、壓力帶來什么樣的長(zhǎng)期影響,仍然有待觀察。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

          譯者:Agatha

          Meme-fueled rallies. TikTok stock tippers. Uncle Sam’s “stimmies” (stimulus checks) converted into “tendies” (big investment returns).

          Wall Street veterans continue to puzzle over the ascendance of the stuck-at-home retail trader, an investing force that arose seemingly out of nowhere. We know what these traders are capable of—pushing COVID-battered businesses like GameStop and AMC Entertainment to new heights and back again, fueling rally after rally in cryptocurrencies—but not so much about their motivations.

          Betterment sought to find out, surveying 1,500 investors, including a number who use its popular investing and personal finance app. The findings offer a glimpse into the retail trader’s investment strategy; a look at the role that stimulus checks and capital gains taxes play; and a take on whether this group will maintain its appetite for continued day trading post-pandemic.

          The growth of retail trading has been truly remarkable. By one measure, retail trading flow is nearly equal to the daily trading volume of mutual funds and hedge funds combined.

          From the looks of the Betterment survey, it’s a segment full of newbie investors. Nearly half the respondents (49%) say they have been trading for less than two years.

          Unsurprisingly, trading stocks and other assets means all kinds of unfamiliar red tape to contend with—like taxes. Roughly one in seven (14%) respondents said they weren’t aware of such a thing as short-term capital gains tax. To their credit, 60% said they were aware of those pesky hits on investment profits, and that these taxes do factor into how long they hold on to a stock.

          As for how and where they find their stock tips, this generation of traders is highly influenced by the daily chatter they pick up on Twitter, TikTok, and Reddit forums like WallStreetBets.

          Social media channels, it turns out, are the third most fertile ground for investment tips among this crowd. They rank just behind financial news websites (which should cheer up Fortune’s finance and markets reporters).

          The Betterment report authors waved a warning flag at these particular findings.

          “More than half of respondents suggested they buy stocks based on company names they’re familiar with. But we’ve seen this lead to issues in the past—with ‘ticker mismatches,’ where people trade the ticker of a stock that isn’t the correct company,” the authors noted. “For example, after a tweet from Elon Musk about Signal [a nonprofit messaging app], a different company’s stock was sent soaring 3,092%.”

          Among other findings…

          ? 67% of the day traders surveyed invested their stimulus-check money.

          ? 97% said they would continue to invest in meme stocks such as GameStop, BlackBerry, and AMC Entertainment.

          ? 34% said investing is the primary way they save money for the future, beating checking accounts (32%) and high-yield savings accounts (30%).

          Though the report delivers a certain level of nuanced survey data for a poorly understood segment of the markets, the authors still wonder what shape this phenomenon will take in the years to come.

          “At Betterment we have often compared day trading to going to Vegas—have a great time, enjoy yourself, but be prepared to come back home with fewer dollars in your wallet and a hangover,” they wrote.

          “The trends outlined in this report seem to indicate that more people are dipping their toe into the investing pool, and (so far) few have decided to walk away,” they noted. “Whether this trend will continue—and the long-term impact it will have on people’s finances, health, stress, etc.—remains to be seen.”

          財(cái)富中文網(wǎng)所刊載內(nèi)容之知識(shí)產(chǎn)權(quán)為財(cái)富媒體知識(shí)產(chǎn)權(quán)有限公司及/或相關(guān)權(quán)利人專屬所有或持有。未經(jīng)許可,禁止進(jìn)行轉(zhuǎn)載、摘編、復(fù)制及建立鏡像等任何使用。
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