
? 美股經歷了過山車:在關稅消息、對科技行業豁免細則的解讀、企業財報及中國的行動等多重因素交織下,周二美國股指先揚后抑。道瓊斯工業平均指數、標普500指數和納斯達克指數早盤上漲后全線收跌。
自特朗普4月2日宣布一系列關稅措施(一周后又緊急按下90天暫停鍵)以來,市場如同坐上過山車一樣持續劇烈波動。在此期間,投資者紛紛轉向避險資產,金價屢創新高,而美元指數在周一跌至三年低點后反彈約0.5%。
美國銀行因每股收益和營收數據超華爾街預期,股價上漲逾3%?;ㄆ旒瘓F股價上漲1.8%。Netflix股價則大漲近5%,成為當日最亮眼的個股之一。但在中國暫停接收波音制造飛機的消息傳出后,波音股價下跌超2%。
愛潑斯坦寫道:“考慮到貿易平衡問題,我們認為特朗普政府不可能對波音的狀況視而不見?!?/p>
投資公司協會(Investment Company Institute)首席經濟學家雪莉·安托諾維奇對《財富》雜志表示,過去幾周股市的日常波動表明,貿易政策對宏觀經濟、通脹預期和經濟增長預期具有重大影響。
安托諾維奇表示:“每次關稅政策出現變動或有重大新規出臺,相關信息都會迅速反映到股市?!彼赋?,投資者正試圖從不斷涌現的新信息中解讀其對未來企業利潤、就業、宏觀經濟和通脹的影響。
例如,投資者需要消化關稅暫停和依舊生效的關稅措施的影響,因此科技股出現了兩極分化的走勢。
晨星(Morningstar)科技行業股票研究總監埃里克·康普頓對《財富》雜志表示,他預計當前關稅暫緩期不會持續太久。
康普頓表示:“從長遠來看,我們認為政府很可能針對被視為涉及國家安全的行業征收關稅,服務器、計算機和智能手機等關鍵產品正屬于這個可能被針對的范疇?!?
他補充道:“因此我們預計當前關稅暫緩只是權宜之計。”(財富中文網)
譯者:劉進龍
審校:汪皓
? 美股經歷了過山車:在關稅消息、對科技行業豁免細則的解讀、企業財報及中國的行動等多重因素交織下,周二美國股指先揚后抑。道瓊斯工業平均指數、標普500指數和納斯達克指數早盤上漲后全線收跌。
自特朗普4月2日宣布一系列關稅措施(一周后又緊急按下90天暫停鍵)以來,市場如同坐上過山車一樣持續劇烈波動。在此期間,投資者紛紛轉向避險資產,金價屢創新高,而美元指數在周一跌至三年低點后反彈約0.5%。
美國銀行因每股收益和營收數據超華爾街預期,股價上漲逾3%。花旗集團股價上漲1.8%。Netflix股價則大漲近5%,成為當日最亮眼的個股之一。但在中國暫停接收波音制造飛機的消息傳出后,波音股價下跌超2%。
愛潑斯坦寫道:“考慮到貿易平衡問題,我們認為特朗普政府不可能對波音的狀況視而不見。”
投資公司協會(Investment Company Institute)首席經濟學家雪莉·安托諾維奇對《財富》雜志表示,過去幾周股市的日常波動表明,貿易政策對宏觀經濟、通脹預期和經濟增長預期具有重大影響。
安托諾維奇表示:“每次關稅政策出現變動或有重大新規出臺,相關信息都會迅速反映到股市?!彼赋?,投資者正試圖從不斷涌現的新信息中解讀其對未來企業利潤、就業、宏觀經濟和通脹的影響。
例如,投資者需要消化關稅暫停和依舊生效的關稅措施的影響,因此科技股出現了兩極分化的走勢。
晨星(Morningstar)科技行業股票研究總監埃里克·康普頓對《財富》雜志表示,他預計當前關稅暫緩期不會持續太久。
康普頓表示:“從長遠來看,我們認為政府很可能針對被視為涉及國家安全的行業征收關稅,服務器、計算機和智能手機等關鍵產品正屬于這個可能被針對的范疇。”
他補充道:“因此我們預計當前關稅暫緩只是權宜之計。”(財富中文網)
譯者:劉進龍
審校:汪皓
? It was soup to nuts on Tuesday: U.S. stock indexes rose then tumbled as investors swallowed down a mix of news on tariffs, parsed carve outs for technology, and tracked corporate earnings and moves from China. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and the Nasdaq all slid following gains early in the day.
Markets have been on a rollercoaster ride since President Trump announced a slew of tariffs on April 2, before ultimately issuing a 90-day pause just one week later. Since then, investors have poured into safe-haven assets and gold prices have hit all-time-highs. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index is up roughly 0.5% after it plunged to a three-year-low on Monday.
Bank of America stock rose more than 3% after beating Wall Street estimates related to earnings-per-share and revenue. Citigroup was up 1.8%. Netflix, meanwhile, was up nearly 5% and was one of the notable movers of the day. But Boeing dropped more than 2% after news broke that China would halt deliveries of Boeing-manufactured airplanes.
“When considering balances of trade, we think the Trump Administration can’t ignore Boeing,” Epstein wrote.
The day-to-day fluctuations in the stock market during the past few weeks have shown that trade policy has a significant impact on the macro economy, inflation expectations, and expectations for economic growth, Shelly Antoniewicz, chief economist at the Investment Company Institute, told Fortune.
“You can tell every time there’s been a change or a major new announcement on tariff policies that that very information very quickly feeds into the stock market,” Antoniewicz said. Investors are looking to interpret all the new information rolling out as to how it will impact corporate profits, employment, the macro economy and inflation, she said.
For instance, tech stocks showed mixed performance on Tuesday as investors sifted through the tariff pause and the tariffs still in place. Apple and Nvidia ended the day in the green even as Amazon dropped 1.6%.
Eric Compton, director of equity research for the technology sector at Morningstar, told Fortune he expects the current tariff reprieve to be short-lived.
“Over the longer term, our view is that it is likely a goal of the administration to target industries viewed as important to national security with tariffs, and likely other measures, to try and move those supply chains away from China,” Compton said. “Key items such as servers, computers, and smartphones would fit squarely within that broad category that is likely to be targeted.”
“Therefore, we would expect the current tariff reprieve to be temporary,” he added.