
擁有房產(chǎn)被視為最明智的財(cái)務(wù)決策之一——前提是要負(fù)擔(dān)得起。畢竟,房產(chǎn)是全球最大金融市場中的最大資產(chǎn)類別,而30年期抵押貸款這一美國獨(dú)有的制度設(shè)計(jì)(理論上)讓所有人都有機(jī)會(huì)實(shí)現(xiàn)“居者有其屋”的美國夢。
人們通過償還抵押貸款逐步減少貸款本金、增加對(duì)房屋的實(shí)際所有權(quán),直至達(dá)到理想狀態(tài)——“完全擁有房產(chǎn)”,并在此過程中積累房屋凈值與財(cái)富。通常情況下,房地產(chǎn)增值會(huì)進(jìn)一步助推房主財(cái)富增長。事實(shí)上,過去幾年里,疫情期間房價(jià)大幅上漲,持有房產(chǎn)尤其能帶來豐厚回報(bào)。
但自2023年美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)大幅加息以來,全美房價(jià)整體陷入停滯甚至出現(xiàn)下跌。信息服務(wù)公司Cotality(前身為CoreLogic)的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,過去一年,美國房主平均房屋凈值縮水9200美元。
四季蘇富比國際地產(chǎn)(Four Seasons Sotheby’s International Realty)房地產(chǎn)顧問利奧·龐德(Leo Pond)向《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“房屋凈值增長已從2022年前后的爆發(fā)式增長期轉(zhuǎn)入平穩(wěn)期。”他解釋稱,這一轉(zhuǎn)變由三方面因素共同推動(dòng):房價(jià)增值放緩、借貸成本上升及供需失衡。
“這并非崩盤,而是市場在消化過去幾年不可持續(xù)的增長,”他說道,“這屬于長期市場修正。”
不過,Cotality的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,美國房主平均仍持有約30.7萬美元的累計(jì)房屋凈值。該公司首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家塞爾瑪·赫普(Selma Hepp)指出,這一數(shù)值處于歷史第三高位。
塞爾瑪在一份聲明中提到:“即便在近期房價(jià)下跌導(dǎo)致平均凈值縮水的地區(qū),如哥倫比亞特區(qū)和佛羅里達(dá)州,借貸人平均仍持有近35萬美元和29萬美元的凈值。”華盛頓特區(qū)和佛羅里達(dá)州房價(jià)跌幅最大,分別下跌3.4萬美元和3.2萬美元。
Coldwell Banker Warburg房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人朱爾斯·加西亞(Jules Garcia)向《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“我絕非不把9200美元當(dāng)回事,畢竟多少錢都是錢,但相較于多數(shù)房主仍持有的六位數(shù)資產(chǎn),9200美元的損失似乎算不上嚴(yán)重。對(duì)于那些在市場峰值時(shí)購入房產(chǎn)、所在區(qū)域市場跌幅更為顯著且有緊急售房需求的房主而言,這無疑是個(gè)更令人憂心的狀況。”
“一頭濃密秀發(fā)上剪去一小縷”
從更為宏觀的層面審視,Cotality數(shù)據(jù)顯示,2025年第二季度,抵押貸款借款人總資產(chǎn)凈值為17.5萬億美元,較去年同期下降0.8%(約1415億美元)。與此同時(shí),“負(fù)資產(chǎn)”(即房主抵押貸款金額超過房屋當(dāng)前市值)房屋數(shù)量同比增加18%,達(dá)到115萬套。
“盡管這一數(shù)字令人擔(dān)憂,但目前尚未達(dá)到恐慌級(jí)別,”加西亞表示,“這是重大預(yù)警信號(hào),但仍有許多地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)市場保持穩(wěn)定。”
要客觀看待這一情況,需記住疫情期間房屋凈值大幅增長。
龐德指出:“許多家庭在疫情期間積累的凈值遠(yuǎn)超此次損失金額,因此當(dāng)前的修正屬于溫和修正,并非危機(jī)。對(duì)于大多數(shù)貸款價(jià)值比處于健康水平的房主而言,此次凈值縮水就如同在‘一頭濃密秀發(fā)上剪去一小縷’,影響微乎其微。”
不過持續(xù)關(guān)注房價(jià)走勢仍至關(guān)重要——尤其是對(duì)有售房計(jì)劃的房主而言。
赫普表示:“今年房價(jià)增速創(chuàng)下2008年金融危機(jī)以來的最低水平。由于部分市場增值趨緩甚至出現(xiàn)下跌,房屋凈值積累預(yù)計(jì)也會(huì)相應(yīng)放緩。隨著增值速度下降,房價(jià)的季節(jié)性波動(dòng)將對(duì)凈值變化產(chǎn)生顯著影響。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
擁有房產(chǎn)被視為最明智的財(cái)務(wù)決策之一——前提是要負(fù)擔(dān)得起。畢竟,房產(chǎn)是全球最大金融市場中的最大資產(chǎn)類別,而30年期抵押貸款這一美國獨(dú)有的制度設(shè)計(jì)(理論上)讓所有人都有機(jī)會(huì)實(shí)現(xiàn)“居者有其屋”的美國夢。
人們通過償還抵押貸款逐步減少貸款本金、增加對(duì)房屋的實(shí)際所有權(quán),直至達(dá)到理想狀態(tài)——“完全擁有房產(chǎn)”,并在此過程中積累房屋凈值與財(cái)富。通常情況下,房地產(chǎn)增值會(huì)進(jìn)一步助推房主財(cái)富增長。事實(shí)上,過去幾年里,疫情期間房價(jià)大幅上漲,持有房產(chǎn)尤其能帶來豐厚回報(bào)。
但自2023年美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)大幅加息以來,全美房價(jià)整體陷入停滯甚至出現(xiàn)下跌。信息服務(wù)公司Cotality(前身為CoreLogic)的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,過去一年,美國房主平均房屋凈值縮水9200美元。
四季蘇富比國際地產(chǎn)(Four Seasons Sotheby’s International Realty)房地產(chǎn)顧問利奧·龐德(Leo Pond)向《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“房屋凈值增長已從2022年前后的爆發(fā)式增長期轉(zhuǎn)入平穩(wěn)期。”他解釋稱,這一轉(zhuǎn)變由三方面因素共同推動(dòng):房價(jià)增值放緩、借貸成本上升及供需失衡。
“這并非崩盤,而是市場在消化過去幾年不可持續(xù)的增長,”他說道,“這屬于長期市場修正。”
不過,Cotality的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,美國房主平均仍持有約30.7萬美元的累計(jì)房屋凈值。該公司首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家塞爾瑪·赫普(Selma Hepp)指出,這一數(shù)值處于歷史第三高位。
塞爾瑪在一份聲明中提到:“即便在近期房價(jià)下跌導(dǎo)致平均凈值縮水的地區(qū),如哥倫比亞特區(qū)和佛羅里達(dá)州,借貸人平均仍持有近35萬美元和29萬美元的凈值。”華盛頓特區(qū)和佛羅里達(dá)州房價(jià)跌幅最大,分別下跌3.4萬美元和3.2萬美元。
Coldwell Banker Warburg房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人朱爾斯·加西亞(Jules Garcia)向《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“我絕非不把9200美元當(dāng)回事,畢竟多少錢都是錢,但相較于多數(shù)房主仍持有的六位數(shù)資產(chǎn),9200美元的損失似乎算不上嚴(yán)重。對(duì)于那些在市場峰值時(shí)購入房產(chǎn)、所在區(qū)域市場跌幅更為顯著且有緊急售房需求的房主而言,這無疑是個(gè)更令人憂心的狀況。”
“一頭濃密秀發(fā)上剪去一小縷”
從更為宏觀的層面審視,Cotality數(shù)據(jù)顯示,2025年第二季度,抵押貸款借款人總資產(chǎn)凈值為17.5萬億美元,較去年同期下降0.8%(約1415億美元)。與此同時(shí),“負(fù)資產(chǎn)”(即房主抵押貸款金額超過房屋當(dāng)前市值)房屋數(shù)量同比增加18%,達(dá)到115萬套。
“盡管這一數(shù)字令人擔(dān)憂,但目前尚未達(dá)到恐慌級(jí)別,”加西亞表示,“這是重大預(yù)警信號(hào),但仍有許多地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)市場保持穩(wěn)定。”
要客觀看待這一情況,需記住疫情期間房屋凈值大幅增長。
龐德指出:“許多家庭在疫情期間積累的凈值遠(yuǎn)超此次損失金額,因此當(dāng)前的修正屬于溫和修正,并非危機(jī)。對(duì)于大多數(shù)貸款價(jià)值比處于健康水平的房主而言,此次凈值縮水就如同在‘一頭濃密秀發(fā)上剪去一小縷’,影響微乎其微。”
不過持續(xù)關(guān)注房價(jià)走勢仍至關(guān)重要——尤其是對(duì)有售房計(jì)劃的房主而言。
赫普表示:“今年房價(jià)增速創(chuàng)下2008年金融危機(jī)以來的最低水平。由于部分市場增值趨緩甚至出現(xiàn)下跌,房屋凈值積累預(yù)計(jì)也會(huì)相應(yīng)放緩。隨著增值速度下降,房價(jià)的季節(jié)性波動(dòng)將對(duì)凈值變化產(chǎn)生顯著影響。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
Owning a home is considered one of the best and most financially savvy a person can make—if you can afford it. After all, it’s the largest asset class in the largest financial market in the world, and the 30-year mortgage is a unique American invention that (theoretically) invites everyone into the American Dream of homeownership.
Buying a house allows people to build equity and wealth over time by making mortgage payments that reduce the loan principal and increase the owner’s stake in the home until, ideally, it’s owned outright. Typically, real estate appreciates, which adds to the homeowner’s wealth. In fact, owning a home during the past several years has been particularly lucrative as home prices spectactularly increased during the pandemic.
But since the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates aggressively in 2023, home-price appreciation has been either broadly flat or falling across the U.S., the average American homeowner lost approximately $9,200 in equity during the past year, according to data from information services company Cotality (formerly CoreLogic).
“Home equity growth has shifted from a period of explosive gains in the years surrounding 2022, into a plateau,” Leo Pond, a real-estate advisor with Four Seasons Sotheby’s International Realty, told Fortune. He explained the transition is driven by a combination of slowing price appreciation, elevated borrowing costs, and supply imbalances.
“This isn’t a collapse, but it is a market digesting several years of unsustainable growth,” he said. “It is a long-term market correction.”
Still, the average U.S. homeowner still has about $307,000 in accumulated home equity, according to Cotality. That’s the third-highest figure on record, according to Cotality Chief Economist Selma Hepp.
“Even in markets where recent price declines have pulled down average equity, such as the District of Columbia and Florida, borrowers on average hold almost $350,000 and $290,000 in equity, respectively,” Selma said in a statement. Home prices in Washington, D.C. and Florida dropped the most, down $34,000 and $32,000, respectively.
“Not to sound dismissive of $9,200, money is money [but] when compared to the six-figure equity many homeowners still hold, $9,200 doesn’t seem as dire,” Jules Garcia, a real-estate agent with Coldwell Banker Warburg, told Fortune. “It’s definitely more of a concern for homeowners who bought at market peaks, are experiencing more pronounced local market declines, and have higher sale urgency.”
‘Small haircut on top of a very full head of hair’
Zooming out, the total homeowner equity for borrowers with a mortgage totaled $17.5 trillion in Q2 2025, down 0.8% or $141.5 billion year over year, according to Cotality. Meanwhile, the number of homes with “negative equity,” meaning when a homeowner owes more on their mortgage than the current market value of their home, increased 18% year-over-year to 1.15 million homes.
“Despite that being a concerning number, it’s not a panic level just yet,” Garcia said. “It’s a big warning sign, but there are still many local markets showing stability.”
To put it in perspective, many homeowners added gobs of money to their home equity during the pandemic.
“Many households added far more than during the pandemic, so this adjustment is a moderate correction rather than a crisis,” Pond said. “For the majority of owners with healthy loan-to-value ratios, this is a small haircut on top of a very full head of hair.”
Still, it’s always important to continue to follow home appreciation—especially in the case the homeowner is looking to sell.
“Home prices this year have experienced the slowest rate of growth since the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. As appreciation remains modest and even declines in some markets, home equity accumulation is projected to follow suit,” Hepp said. “With the reduced pace of appreciation, seasonal fluctuations in home prices will have a pronounced impact on equity changes.”