上周四,華爾街股市連續第三個交易日收跌,美國股市回吐了今年迄今為止取得的部分漲幅。
標普500指數下跌0.5%,創下一個多月以來的最長連跌紀錄。道瓊斯工業平均指數下跌173點,跌幅0.4%,納斯達克綜合指數下挫0.5%。不過,所有三大指數仍接近本周初創下的歷史高位。
股市承壓的原因是,報告顯示美國經濟可能比經濟學家預期的更為強勁。這對職場人士和求職者而言雖是令人鼓舞的消息,但可能會降低美聯儲(Federal Reserve)在未來幾個月內多次降息的可能性。
美聯儲剛于上周進行了本年度的首次降息,且官員們還預計在明年年底前進行更多次降息。這對華爾街至關重要,因為美國股市自4月以來飆升至創紀錄水平,很大程度上是得益于市場對降息的預期。更寬松的利率能夠提振經濟,并使投資者更愿意為股票和其他投資支付高價。
但經濟強于預期可能會緩解美聯儲的緊迫感,尤其是因為降息可能加劇本已居高不下的通脹風險。如果美聯儲降息次數不及投資者預期,則會助長對美國股市在經歷如此迅猛上漲后估值過高的批評。
金融服務公司BTIG的首席市場技術分析師喬納森·克朗斯基警告道:“系好安全帶。”
克朗斯基在一份研究報告中寫道,鑒于市場自滿情緒大量積累,且“市場某些領域的彈性近期已達到極限”,股市似乎正處于自4月低點以來最脆弱的境地。
華爾街的最終希望是美國經濟能保持一種微妙的平衡:即經濟放緩的程度足以說服美聯儲降息,但又不會過于疲弱以至于引發經濟衰退。
債券市場上,國債收益率小幅走高,因為交易員減少了對美聯儲未來降息次數的押注。10年期國債收益率從周三尾盤的4.16%升至4.17%。
周四發布的其中一份經濟報告超出預期,該報告顯示,上周美國失業救濟金申領人數有所減少。這可能是裁員速度正在放緩的一個信號。
另一份報告指出,美國經濟在春季的增長速度快于先前預期;而第三份報告則顯示,上月美國耐用制成品訂單遠超經濟學家預期。
在華爾街方面,二手車零售商CarMax股價暴跌20.1%,因其公布的最新季度利潤低于分析師預期。本季度其汽車銷量低于去年同期。由于上調了對早年發放貸款可能造成損失的預期,該公司也受到影響。
Jabil股價下跌6.7%,盡管其公布的最新季度利潤強于分析師預期,這部分得益于人工智能帶來的需求。此外,該公司對未來營收和利潤的預測也超出了分析師預期。
此類消息通常會推高股價,但Jabil今年迄今漲幅已高達56.6%,是標普500指數同期漲幅的四倍多。
另一家人工智能的受益者甲骨文公司(Oracle)股價回落5.6%。本月早些時候,因宣布簽署了多項得益于人工智能的大型合同,其股價一度暴漲,曾創下自1992年以來的最大單日漲幅。
咖啡連鎖店星巴克(Starbucks)股價微跌0.5%,此前該公司宣布了一項10億美元重組計劃,包括關閉門店和裁減900個非零售崗位。
華爾街的贏家之一是IBM。匯豐銀行(HSBC)宣布與IBM進行了一項前景看好的量子計算試驗,以改善債券交易,之后該公司股價上漲5.2%。匯豐銀行表示,在預測交易是否能按報價成交方面,他們的預測準確度提升了34%。
各公司正競相開發量子計算,以解決傳統計算機無法解決的復雜問題。
住宅建筑商KB Home在公布最新季度利潤強于分析師預期后,股價震蕩起伏。該公司首席執行官杰弗里·梅茲格表示,整個季度抵押貸款利率有所下降令他備受鼓舞,這可能會刺激更多潛在客戶購房。
基于對美聯儲即將降息的預期,抵押貸款利率持續下滑。KB Home股價當日最終微跌0.6%。
美聯社記者馬特·奧特與特蕾莎·塞羅哈諾為本文做出了貢獻。(財富中文網)
譯者:劉進龍
審校:汪皓
上周四,華爾街股市連續第三個交易日收跌,美國股市回吐了今年迄今為止取得的部分漲幅。
標普500指數下跌0.5%,創下一個多月以來的最長連跌紀錄。道瓊斯工業平均指數下跌173點,跌幅0.4%,納斯達克綜合指數下挫0.5%。不過,所有三大指數仍接近本周初創下的歷史高位。
股市承壓的原因是,報告顯示美國經濟可能比經濟學家預期的更為強勁。這對職場人士和求職者而言雖是令人鼓舞的消息,但可能會降低美聯儲(Federal Reserve)在未來幾個月內多次降息的可能性。
美聯儲剛于上周進行了本年度的首次降息,且官員們還預計在明年年底前進行更多次降息。這對華爾街至關重要,因為美國股市自4月以來飆升至創紀錄水平,很大程度上是得益于市場對降息的預期。更寬松的利率能夠提振經濟,并使投資者更愿意為股票和其他投資支付高價。
但經濟強于預期可能會緩解美聯儲的緊迫感,尤其是因為降息可能加劇本已居高不下的通脹風險。如果美聯儲降息次數不及投資者預期,則會助長對美國股市在經歷如此迅猛上漲后估值過高的批評。
金融服務公司BTIG的首席市場技術分析師喬納森·克朗斯基警告道:“系好安全帶。”
克朗斯基在一份研究報告中寫道,鑒于市場自滿情緒大量積累,且“市場某些領域的彈性近期已達到極限”,股市似乎正處于自4月低點以來最脆弱的境地。
華爾街的最終希望是美國經濟能保持一種微妙的平衡:即經濟放緩的程度足以說服美聯儲降息,但又不會過于疲弱以至于引發經濟衰退。
債券市場上,國債收益率小幅走高,因為交易員減少了對美聯儲未來降息次數的押注。10年期國債收益率從周三尾盤的4.16%升至4.17%。
周四發布的其中一份經濟報告超出預期,該報告顯示,上周美國失業救濟金申領人數有所減少。這可能是裁員速度正在放緩的一個信號。
另一份報告指出,美國經濟在春季的增長速度快于先前預期;而第三份報告則顯示,上月美國耐用制成品訂單遠超經濟學家預期。
在華爾街方面,二手車零售商CarMax股價暴跌20.1%,因其公布的最新季度利潤低于分析師預期。本季度其汽車銷量低于去年同期。由于上調了對早年發放貸款可能造成損失的預期,該公司也受到影響。
Jabil股價下跌6.7%,盡管其公布的最新季度利潤強于分析師預期,這部分得益于人工智能帶來的需求。此外,該公司對未來營收和利潤的預測也超出了分析師預期。
此類消息通常會推高股價,但Jabil今年迄今漲幅已高達56.6%,是標普500指數同期漲幅的四倍多。
另一家人工智能的受益者甲骨文公司(Oracle)股價回落5.6%。本月早些時候,因宣布簽署了多項得益于人工智能的大型合同,其股價一度暴漲,曾創下自1992年以來的最大單日漲幅。
咖啡連鎖店星巴克(Starbucks)股價微跌0.5%,此前該公司宣布了一項10億美元重組計劃,包括關閉門店和裁減900個非零售崗位。
華爾街的贏家之一是IBM。匯豐銀行(HSBC)宣布與IBM進行了一項前景看好的量子計算試驗,以改善債券交易,之后該公司股價上漲5.2%。匯豐銀行表示,在預測交易是否能按報價成交方面,他們的預測準確度提升了34%。
各公司正競相開發量子計算,以解決傳統計算機無法解決的復雜問題。
住宅建筑商KB Home在公布最新季度利潤強于分析師預期后,股價震蕩起伏。該公司首席執行官杰弗里·梅茲格表示,整個季度抵押貸款利率有所下降令他備受鼓舞,這可能會刺激更多潛在客戶購房。
基于對美聯儲即將降息的預期,抵押貸款利率持續下滑。KB Home股價當日最終微跌0.6%。
美聯社記者馬特·奧特與特蕾莎·塞羅哈諾為本文做出了貢獻。(財富中文網)
譯者:劉進龍
審校:汪皓
Wall Street stumbled to a third straight loss on Thursday as U.S. stocks gave back more of their big gains for the year so far.
The S&P 500 fell 0.5% and marked its longest losing streak in more than a month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 173 points, or 0.4%, and the Nasdaq composite sank 0.5%. All three indexes are still near their records set at the start of the week, though.
Stocks felt pressure from reports showing the U.S. economy may be stronger than economists thought. While that’s encouraging news for workers and for people looking for jobs, it could make the Federal Reserve less likely to cut interest rates several times in the coming months.
The Fed just delivered its first cut of the year last week, and officials had penciled in more through the end of next year. That was critical for Wall Street after U.S. stocks shot to records since April in large part because of expectations for rate cuts. Easier rates can boost the economy and make investors more willing to pay high prices for stocks and other investments.
But a stronger-than-expected economy could remove some of the Fed’s urgency, particularly because cuts to rates carry the risk of worsening inflation that’s already stubbornly high. If the Fed doesn’t cut rates as often as investors expect, it would empower criticism that the U.S. stock market is too expensive after rising so much, so quickly.
“Buckle up,” warned Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at financial services firm BTIG.
Stocks look to be in their most vulnerable position since their April lows given how much complacency has built up and how the rubber band has recently been “as stretched as it gets in some parts of the market,” Krinsky wrote in a research report.
Wall Street’s ultimate hope is that the U.S. economy stays in a delicate balance where it’s slow enough to convince the Fed to cut rates but doesn’t become so weak that it leads to a recession.
Treasury yields ticked higher in the bond market as traders pared bets for the number of upcoming cuts to rates by the Fed. The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 4.17% from 4.16% late Wednesday.
One of Thursday’s stronger-than-expected economic reports said that fewer U.S. workers filed for unemployment benefits last week. That could be a signal that the pace of layoffs is slowing.
Another report said the U.S. economy grew at a faster pace during the spring than earlier thought, while a third said orders blew past economists’ expectations last month for U.S. manufactured goods with a relatively long life span.
On Wall Street, CarMax tumbled 20.1% after the seller of used autos reported a weaker profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. It sold fewer vehicles during the quarter than it had a year earlier. It also was hurt because it increased its expectations for losses from loans made in earlier years.
Jabil fell 6.7% even though it reported a stronger profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected, thanks in part to demand coming because of artificial intelligence. It also gave forecasts for upcoming revenue and profit that topped analysts’ expectations.
Such moves typically send a stock’s price higher, but Jabil came into the day with an already huge gain of 56.6% for the year so far. That was more than quadruple the S&P 500’s rise over the same time.
Another AI winner, Oracle, gave back 5.6%. Earlier this month, it surged to its best day since 1992 after announcing several big contracts signed because of AI.
Starbucks slipped 0.5% after the coffee chain announced a $1 billion plan to restructure, including the closure of stores and the cutting of 900 nonretail jobs.
On the winning side of Wall Street was IBM. It rose 5.2% after HSBC announced a promising trial with IBM of quantum computing in hopes of improving bond trading. The bank said they delivered an improvement of up to 34% in predicting how likely a trade would be filled at a quoted price.
Companies are racing to develop quantum computing in order to solve complex problems beyond the reach of classical computers.
KB Home swung between gains and losses after the homebuilder reported a stronger profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. CEO Jeffrey Mezger said he was encouraged to see mortgage rates ease through the quarter, which could encourage more potential customers to buy homes.
Mortgage rates have been sinking on expectations for coming cuts to rates by the Fed. KB Home’s stock finished the day with a dip of 0.6%.
AP Writers Matt Ott and Teresa Cerojano contributed.