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          獲得今年諾貝爾獎的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家都有哪些成就?

          美聯(lián)社
          2025-10-18

          三位研究商業(yè)創(chuàng)新過程的學(xué)者于上周一榮獲諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎。

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          2025年10月13日,在瑞典斯德哥爾摩的瑞典皇家科學(xué)院,諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎評委會成員克爾斯汀·恩弗洛(Kerstin Enflo,右)在2025年諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎(瑞典中央銀行紀(jì)念阿爾弗雷德·諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎)獲獎?wù)吖純x式上發(fā)言。圖片來源:JONATHAN NACKSTRAND/AFP via Getty Images

          三位研究商業(yè)創(chuàng)新過程的學(xué)者于上周一榮獲諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎,以表彰他們闡明新產(chǎn)品與發(fā)明如何推動經(jīng)濟(jì)增長、增進(jìn)人類福祉,即便這一過程會導(dǎo)致傳統(tǒng)企業(yè)被淘汰。

          他們的研究成果助力經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家更深入地理解創(chuàng)意與技術(shù)如何通過顛覆既有模式取得成功——無論是在蒸汽機(jī)車取代馬車的工業(yè)史中,還是電子商務(wù)沖擊實(shí)體商場的當(dāng)下,這一過程都清晰可見。

          獲獎?wù)甙ǎ含F(xiàn)年79歲、出生于荷蘭的喬爾·莫基爾(Joel Mokyr,就職于西北大學(xué));現(xiàn)年69歲的菲利普·阿吉翁(Philippe Aghion,供職于法蘭西公學(xué)院與倫敦政治經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院);以及現(xiàn)年79歲、出生于加拿大的彼得·豪伊特(Peter Howitt,任職于布朗大學(xué))。

          厘清“創(chuàng)造性破壞”

          獲獎?wù)叩呢暙I(xiàn)在于,更深入地闡釋并量化了“創(chuàng)造性破壞”這一經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)核心概念。所謂“創(chuàng)造性破壞”,指的是具有積極意義的新創(chuàng)新取代——進(jìn)而摧毀——舊有技術(shù)與產(chǎn)業(yè)的過程。

          這一概念通常與經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家約瑟夫·熊彼特(Joseph Schumpeter)關(guān)聯(lián)——他在1942年出版的《資本主義、社會主義與民主》(Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy)一書中提出了這一概念,稱其為“資本主義的本質(zhì)特征”。

          諾貝爾委員會指出,莫基爾的研究“闡明了若要讓創(chuàng)新自我驅(qū)動、不斷迭代,我們不僅需知道‘某項(xiàng)技術(shù)具備可行性’,更需借助科學(xué)解釋‘它為何具備可行性’”。

          阿吉翁與豪伊特研究了持續(xù)增長背后的機(jī)制,例如,二人在1992年發(fā)表的一篇論文中,針對“創(chuàng)造性破壞”構(gòu)建了復(fù)雜的數(shù)學(xué)模型,在早期模型基礎(chǔ)上增添了此前未涵蓋的新維度。

          創(chuàng)造性破壞的實(shí)例包括:電子商務(wù)顛覆實(shí)體零售、流媒體服務(wù)取代錄像帶與DVD租賃、網(wǎng)絡(luò)廣告沖擊傳統(tǒng)報(bào)紙廣告。

          過程是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與人類福祉的關(guān)鍵

          諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎評委會主席約翰·哈斯勒(John Hassler)指出:“獲獎?wù)叩难芯勘砻鹘?jīng)濟(jì)增長并非必然。我們必須維護(hù)創(chuàng)造性破壞背后的運(yùn)行機(jī)制,才能避免陷入停滯困境。”

          莫基爾一直對近期技術(shù)創(chuàng)新持樂觀態(tài)度。約十年前,許多經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家持更為悲觀的看法,認(rèn)為智能手機(jī)乃至互聯(lián)網(wǎng)等發(fā)明對經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響,遠(yuǎn)不及飛機(jī)或汽車等過往的技術(shù)突破。

          莫基爾回應(yīng)稱,許多新服務(wù)要么價(jià)格低廉、要么免費(fèi)提供,其價(jià)值雖未在經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)中充分體現(xiàn),卻為人類帶來巨大福祉。

          2015年接受美聯(lián)社采訪時,他以音樂流媒體服務(wù)Spotify為例,稱其是一項(xiàng)“極具顛覆性的創(chuàng)新”,經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家難以量化其價(jià)值。莫基爾表示,自己曾收藏過上千張CD,更早之前“在攻讀研究生期間,將大量預(yù)算花在了黑膠唱片上”;而如今,僅需支付少量月費(fèi),便能暢享海量音樂庫。

          莫基爾承認(rèn),新技術(shù)的顛覆效應(yīng)往往至少會導(dǎo)致勞動者短期失業(yè)或收入下降,但與許多經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家一樣,他認(rèn)為創(chuàng)新同時會催生出意想不到的新崗位,創(chuàng)造全新機(jī)遇。

          他在2015年的一篇論文中寫道:“經(jīng)濟(jì)中新工業(yè)化領(lǐng)域的勞動者,對工資、生活水平以及收入不平等的擔(dān)憂是合乎情理的。”但新工廠與機(jī)器將創(chuàng)造新崗位——至少能讓勞動者的后代受益:“被取代的手搖織布機(jī)織工,其子女不僅能選擇進(jìn)入機(jī)械化棉紡廠工作,還能成為接受過系統(tǒng)培訓(xùn)的工程師與電報(bào)員。”

          諾貝爾委員會指出,在人類歷史的大部分時期,經(jīng)濟(jì)停滯才是常態(tài),而非增長。自18世紀(jì)工業(yè)革命以來,歐洲及后來的其他經(jīng)濟(jì)體開始實(shí)現(xiàn)穩(wěn)步增長。

          莫基爾承認(rèn)知識、技術(shù)與增長之間的關(guān)系看似“不言而喻”,卻指出經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家“實(shí)際上很少明確探討這一問題”。

          創(chuàng)新——以及如何推動創(chuàng)新——已成為歐洲亟待解決的難題。歐洲央行前行長馬里奧·德拉吉(Mario Draghi)發(fā)布的一份報(bào)告顯示,歐洲在數(shù)字技術(shù)領(lǐng)域與美國的生產(chǎn)力差距正持續(xù)擴(kuò)大。阿吉翁表示,歐洲面臨的挑戰(zhàn)不僅在于避免在創(chuàng)新領(lǐng)域落后于美國和中國,更在于推動科研發(fā)展和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)資本融資,將創(chuàng)意轉(zhuǎn)化為商業(yè)成果。

          “我們擁有卓越的基礎(chǔ)研究能力……但必須充分釋放創(chuàng)新潛力。”他說道。

          清晨的驚喜

          當(dāng)美聯(lián)社記者聯(lián)系莫基爾時,他正忙著沖泡晨間咖啡。他表示對獲獎感到無比震驚。

          “雖說人們通常都會這么講,但這次我真的是毫無心理準(zhǔn)備——這事兒完全在我意料之外。”他坦言。

          他提到學(xué)生們曾詢問他獲得諾貝爾獎的可能性。“我告訴他們,我當(dāng)選教皇的可能性都比獲得諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎大——順便提一句,我是猶太人。”

          莫基爾明年夏天將年滿80歲,但他表示并無退休計(jì)劃。“這是我畢生夢寐以求的工作。”他說道。

          隨后他掛斷電話去遛狗了。

          三位經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家究竟獲得了什么?

          諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎總獎金為1100萬瑞典克朗(約合120萬美元),其中一半授予莫基爾,另一半則共同授予阿吉翁與豪伊特。獲獎?wù)哌€將得到一枚18K金質(zhì)獎?wù)乱约耙环葑C書。

          諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎的全稱為“瑞典中央銀行紀(jì)念阿爾弗雷德·諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎”。該獎項(xiàng)由瑞典中央銀行于1968年設(shè)立,旨在紀(jì)念19世紀(jì)瑞典實(shí)業(yè)家兼化學(xué)家阿爾弗雷德·諾貝爾(他發(fā)明了炸藥,并設(shè)立了五大諾貝爾獎)。

          自設(shè)立以來,該獎項(xiàng)已頒發(fā)57次,共有99位獲獎?wù)撸渲信垣@獎?wù)邇H三人。

          諾貝爾獎純粹主義者強(qiáng)調(diào),經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎嚴(yán)格意義上并不屬于諾貝爾獎,但該獎項(xiàng)一直與其他獎項(xiàng)共同于12月10日——諾貝爾1896年逝世周年紀(jì)念日——頒發(fā)。

          上周已公布諾貝爾醫(yī)學(xué)獎、物理學(xué)獎、化學(xué)獎、文學(xué)獎與和平獎獲獎名單。

          麥休從德國法蘭克福發(fā)回報(bào)道,魯格貝爾從華盛頓發(fā)回報(bào)道,科德從荷蘭海牙發(fā)回報(bào)道。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

          譯者:中慧言-王芳

          三位研究商業(yè)創(chuàng)新過程的學(xué)者于上周一榮獲諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎,以表彰他們闡明新產(chǎn)品與發(fā)明如何推動經(jīng)濟(jì)增長、增進(jìn)人類福祉,即便這一過程會導(dǎo)致傳統(tǒng)企業(yè)被淘汰。

          他們的研究成果助力經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家更深入地理解創(chuàng)意與技術(shù)如何通過顛覆既有模式取得成功——無論是在蒸汽機(jī)車取代馬車的工業(yè)史中,還是電子商務(wù)沖擊實(shí)體商場的當(dāng)下,這一過程都清晰可見。

          獲獎?wù)甙ǎ含F(xiàn)年79歲、出生于荷蘭的喬爾·莫基爾(Joel Mokyr,就職于西北大學(xué));現(xiàn)年69歲的菲利普·阿吉翁(Philippe Aghion,供職于法蘭西公學(xué)院與倫敦政治經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院);以及現(xiàn)年79歲、出生于加拿大的彼得·豪伊特(Peter Howitt,任職于布朗大學(xué))。

          厘清“創(chuàng)造性破壞”

          獲獎?wù)叩呢暙I(xiàn)在于,更深入地闡釋并量化了“創(chuàng)造性破壞”這一經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)核心概念。所謂“創(chuàng)造性破壞”,指的是具有積極意義的新創(chuàng)新取代——進(jìn)而摧毀——舊有技術(shù)與產(chǎn)業(yè)的過程。

          這一概念通常與經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家約瑟夫·熊彼特(Joseph Schumpeter)關(guān)聯(lián)——他在1942年出版的《資本主義、社會主義與民主》(Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy)一書中提出了這一概念,稱其為“資本主義的本質(zhì)特征”。

          諾貝爾委員會指出,莫基爾的研究“闡明了若要讓創(chuàng)新自我驅(qū)動、不斷迭代,我們不僅需知道‘某項(xiàng)技術(shù)具備可行性’,更需借助科學(xué)解釋‘它為何具備可行性’”。

          阿吉翁與豪伊特研究了持續(xù)增長背后的機(jī)制,例如,二人在1992年發(fā)表的一篇論文中,針對“創(chuàng)造性破壞”構(gòu)建了復(fù)雜的數(shù)學(xué)模型,在早期模型基礎(chǔ)上增添了此前未涵蓋的新維度。

          創(chuàng)造性破壞的實(shí)例包括:電子商務(wù)顛覆實(shí)體零售、流媒體服務(wù)取代錄像帶與DVD租賃、網(wǎng)絡(luò)廣告沖擊傳統(tǒng)報(bào)紙廣告。

          過程是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與人類福祉的關(guān)鍵

          諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎評委會主席約翰·哈斯勒(John Hassler)指出:“獲獎?wù)叩难芯勘砻鹘?jīng)濟(jì)增長并非必然。我們必須維護(hù)創(chuàng)造性破壞背后的運(yùn)行機(jī)制,才能避免陷入停滯困境。”

          莫基爾一直對近期技術(shù)創(chuàng)新持樂觀態(tài)度。約十年前,許多經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家持更為悲觀的看法,認(rèn)為智能手機(jī)乃至互聯(lián)網(wǎng)等發(fā)明對經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響,遠(yuǎn)不及飛機(jī)或汽車等過往的技術(shù)突破。

          莫基爾回應(yīng)稱,許多新服務(wù)要么價(jià)格低廉、要么免費(fèi)提供,其價(jià)值雖未在經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)中充分體現(xiàn),卻為人類帶來巨大福祉。

          2015年接受美聯(lián)社采訪時,他以音樂流媒體服務(wù)Spotify為例,稱其是一項(xiàng)“極具顛覆性的創(chuàng)新”,經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家難以量化其價(jià)值。莫基爾表示,自己曾收藏過上千張CD,更早之前“在攻讀研究生期間,將大量預(yù)算花在了黑膠唱片上”;而如今,僅需支付少量月費(fèi),便能暢享海量音樂庫。

          莫基爾承認(rèn),新技術(shù)的顛覆效應(yīng)往往至少會導(dǎo)致勞動者短期失業(yè)或收入下降,但與許多經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家一樣,他認(rèn)為創(chuàng)新同時會催生出意想不到的新崗位,創(chuàng)造全新機(jī)遇。

          他在2015年的一篇論文中寫道:“經(jīng)濟(jì)中新工業(yè)化領(lǐng)域的勞動者,對工資、生活水平以及收入不平等的擔(dān)憂是合乎情理的。”但新工廠與機(jī)器將創(chuàng)造新崗位——至少能讓勞動者的后代受益:“被取代的手搖織布機(jī)織工,其子女不僅能選擇進(jìn)入機(jī)械化棉紡廠工作,還能成為接受過系統(tǒng)培訓(xùn)的工程師與電報(bào)員。”

          諾貝爾委員會指出,在人類歷史的大部分時期,經(jīng)濟(jì)停滯才是常態(tài),而非增長。自18世紀(jì)工業(yè)革命以來,歐洲及后來的其他經(jīng)濟(jì)體開始實(shí)現(xiàn)穩(wěn)步增長。

          莫基爾承認(rèn)知識、技術(shù)與增長之間的關(guān)系看似“不言而喻”,卻指出經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家“實(shí)際上很少明確探討這一問題”。

          創(chuàng)新——以及如何推動創(chuàng)新——已成為歐洲亟待解決的難題。歐洲央行前行長馬里奧·德拉吉(Mario Draghi)發(fā)布的一份報(bào)告顯示,歐洲在數(shù)字技術(shù)領(lǐng)域與美國的生產(chǎn)力差距正持續(xù)擴(kuò)大。阿吉翁表示,歐洲面臨的挑戰(zhàn)不僅在于避免在創(chuàng)新領(lǐng)域落后于美國和中國,更在于推動科研發(fā)展和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)資本融資,將創(chuàng)意轉(zhuǎn)化為商業(yè)成果。

          “我們擁有卓越的基礎(chǔ)研究能力……但必須充分釋放創(chuàng)新潛力。”他說道。

          清晨的驚喜

          當(dāng)美聯(lián)社記者聯(lián)系莫基爾時,他正忙著沖泡晨間咖啡。他表示對獲獎感到無比震驚。

          “雖說人們通常都會這么講,但這次我真的是毫無心理準(zhǔn)備——這事兒完全在我意料之外。”他坦言。

          他提到學(xué)生們曾詢問他獲得諾貝爾獎的可能性。“我告訴他們,我當(dāng)選教皇的可能性都比獲得諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎大——順便提一句,我是猶太人。”

          莫基爾明年夏天將年滿80歲,但他表示并無退休計(jì)劃。“這是我畢生夢寐以求的工作。”他說道。

          隨后他掛斷電話去遛狗了。

          三位經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家究竟獲得了什么?

          諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎總獎金為1100萬瑞典克朗(約合120萬美元),其中一半授予莫基爾,另一半則共同授予阿吉翁與豪伊特。獲獎?wù)哌€將得到一枚18K金質(zhì)獎?wù)乱约耙环葑C書。

          諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎的全稱為“瑞典中央銀行紀(jì)念阿爾弗雷德·諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎”。該獎項(xiàng)由瑞典中央銀行于1968年設(shè)立,旨在紀(jì)念19世紀(jì)瑞典實(shí)業(yè)家兼化學(xué)家阿爾弗雷德·諾貝爾(他發(fā)明了炸藥,并設(shè)立了五大諾貝爾獎)。

          自設(shè)立以來,該獎項(xiàng)已頒發(fā)57次,共有99位獲獎?wù)撸渲信垣@獎?wù)邇H三人。

          諾貝爾獎純粹主義者強(qiáng)調(diào),經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎嚴(yán)格意義上并不屬于諾貝爾獎,但該獎項(xiàng)一直與其他獎項(xiàng)共同于12月10日——諾貝爾1896年逝世周年紀(jì)念日——頒發(fā)。

          上周已公布諾貝爾醫(yī)學(xué)獎、物理學(xué)獎、化學(xué)獎、文學(xué)獎與和平獎獲獎名單。

          麥休從德國法蘭克福發(fā)回報(bào)道,魯格貝爾從華盛頓發(fā)回報(bào)道,科德從荷蘭海牙發(fā)回報(bào)道。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

          譯者:中慧言-王芳

          Three researchers who probed the process of business innovation won the Nobel memorial prize in economics Monday for explaining how new products and inventions promote economic growth and human welfare, even as they leave older companies in the dust.

          Their work was credited with helping economists better understand how ideas and technology succeed by disrupting established ways — a process as old as steam locomotives replacing horse-drawn wagons and as contemporary as e-commerce shuttering shopping malls.

          Dutch-born Joel Mokyr, 79, is at Northwestern University; Philippe Aghion, 69, works at the Collège de France and the London School of Economics; and Canadian-born Peter Howitt, 79, is at Brown University.

          A clearer understanding of ‘creative destruction’

          The winners were credited with better explaining and quantifying “creative destruction,” a key concept in economics that refers to the process in which beneficial new innovations replace — and thus destroy — older technologies and businesses.

          The concept is usually associated with economist Joseph Schumpeter, who outlined it in his 1942 book “Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy.” Schumpeter called the concept “the essential fact about capitalism.”

          The Nobel committee said Mokyr “demonstrated that if innovations are to succeed one another in a self-generating process, we not only need to know that something works, but we also need to have scientific explanations for why.”

          Aghion and Howitt studied the mechanisms behind sustained growth, including in a 1992 article that offered a complex mathematical model for creative destruction that added new aspects not included in earlier models.

          Examples of creative destruction include e-commerce disrupting retail, streaming services replacing videocassette and DVD rentals and internet advertising undermining newspaper advertising.

          Process is key to economic growth and human welfare

          “The laureates’ work shows that economic growth cannot be taken for granted. We must uphold the mechanisms that underlie creative destruction, so that we do not fall back into stagnation,” said John Hassler, chair of the committee for the prize in economic sciences.

          Mokyr has long been known as an optimist about recent technological innovation. About a decade ago, many economists took a more pessimistic view, arguing that inventions such as smartphones or even the internet had less of an economic impact than previous developments such as the airplane or the car.

          Mokyr responded that because many new services were either cheap or free, their impact wasn’t evident in economic data, but they still provided enormous benefits.

          In an interview with The Associated Press in 2015, he cited the music streaming service Spotify as an example of an “absolutely astonishing” innovation that economists had difficulty measuring. Mokyr noted he once owned more than 1,000 CDs and, before that, “I spent a large amount of my graduate student budget on vinyl records.” But now he could access a huge music library for a small monthly fee.

          Mokyr acknowledged that the disruption from new inventions often caused at least short-term job loss or reduced earnings for workers, but like many economists, he argued that the innovations also created new, unexpected jobs that offered fresh opportunities.

          Workers in the “newly industrializing part of the economy had legitimate concerns with regard to wages, standards of living, and inequality,” he wrote in a 2015 paper. Yet the new factories and machines created new jobs, at least for their descendants: “The children of the displaced handloom weavers not only had the option to work in machine-intensive cotton mills; they could also become trained engineers and telegraph operators,” he wrote.

          The Nobel committee noted that for much of human history, economic stagnation, rather than growth, was the norm. Starting with the Industrial Revolution in the 18th century, however, European and later other economies began to grow steadily.

          Mokyr acknowledged that the relationship between knowledge, technology and growth seemed “so self-evident” but noted that economists “actually rarely have dealt with it explicitly.”

          Innovation — and how to foster it — is an urgent question in Europe, where a report by former European Central Bank head Mario Draghi argued that Europe faces a rising productivity gap with the U.S. in digital technology. Aghion said the challenge was for Europe not to fall behind the U.S. and China in innovation but to promote research and the venture capital financing to turn ideas into businesses.

          “We have fantastic basic research … but we need to harness the full power of innovation,” he said.

          An early morning surprise

          Mokyr was still trying to get his morning coffee when he was reached by an AP reporter. He said he was shocked to win the prize.

          “People always say this, but in this case I am being truthful — I had no clue that anything like this was going to happen,” he said.

          His students had asked him about the possibility he would win the Nobel, he said. “I told them that I was more likely to be elected pope than to win the Nobel prize in economics — and I am Jewish, by the way.”

          Mokyr will turn 80 next summer but said he has no plans to retire. “This is the type of job that I dreamed about my entire life,” he said.

          He then hung up to go walk his dog.

          What exactly did the three economists win?

          One half of the 11 million Swedish kronor (nearly $1.2 million) prize goes to Mokyr, and the other half is shared by Aghion and Howitt. Winners also receive an 18-carat gold medal and a diploma.

          The economics prize is formally known as the Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. The central bank established it in 1968 as a memorial to Nobel, the 19th-century Swedish businessman and chemist who invented dynamite and established the five Nobel Prizes.

          Since then, it has been awarded 57 times to a total of 99 laureates. Only three of the winners have been women.

          Nobel purists stress that the economics prize is technically not a Nobel Prize, but it is always presented together with the others on Dec. 10, the anniversary of Nobel’s death in 1896.

          Nobel honors were announced last week in medicine, physics, chemistry, literature and peace.

          McHugh reported from Frankfurt, Germany, and Rugaber from Washington and Corder from The Hague, Netherlands.

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