
盡管人工智能監管已成為各國政府與科技界高層熱議的話題,但“管好它”的時機或許已經錯過。
上周在利雅得舉行的2025年《財富》全球論壇上,S4 Capital創始人兼執行董事長蘇銘天爵士表示:“未來的監管只能依靠行業自律。許多人將人工智能的風險與核武器相提并論,然而木已成舟,我們已經錯失人工智能管控的‘奧本海默時刻’?!?/p>
作為廣告巨頭WPP的創始人,蘇銘天指出,科技公司及其領軍人物(如埃隆·馬斯克)如今擁有巨大的財富與影響力,以至于各國政府難以對其施加真正有力的監管。
蘇銘天對現場觀眾表示:“蘋果(Apple)市值已達4萬億美元,而馬斯克的最新薪酬計劃更是以特斯拉(Tesla)市值達到10萬億美元為目標。我深信馬斯克或特斯拉終將實現這一目標??傆幸惶?,市場上會出現一家市值達10萬億美元的公司。換個角度看,除了中美兩國,10萬億美元的體量幾乎相當于世界第三大經濟體。這些公司堪比‘主權實體’,而政府對它們的掌控力已經變得有限?!?/p>
從某種意義上說,蘇銘天的預言正在應驗。近日,英偉達(Nvidia)成為史上首家市值突破5萬億美元的公司。在美國總統唐納德·特朗普透露與英偉達首席執行官黃仁勛會面后,該芯片巨頭的股價應聲上漲。
蘇銘天還預測,未來“虛擬人物”或“合成形象”的應用將迅速普及,尤其在廣告領域。
他表示:“據我們判斷,在未來兩三年內,這類應用將變得司空見慣。原因很簡單——經濟效益。廣告業正面臨顛覆性變革,制作成本可削減高達80%至90%。在降低創意成本的同時,為媒體投放騰出更多預算,將在未來變得愈發重要?!保ㄘ敻恢形木W)
譯者:郝秀
審校:汪皓
盡管人工智能監管已成為各國政府與科技界高層熱議的話題,但“管好它”的時機或許已經錯過。
上周在利雅得舉行的2025年《財富》全球論壇上,S4 Capital創始人兼執行董事長蘇銘天爵士表示:“未來的監管只能依靠行業自律。許多人將人工智能的風險與核武器相提并論,然而木已成舟,我們已經錯失人工智能管控的‘奧本海默時刻’。”
作為廣告巨頭WPP的創始人,蘇銘天指出,科技公司及其領軍人物(如埃隆·馬斯克)如今擁有巨大的財富與影響力,以至于各國政府難以對其施加真正有力的監管。
蘇銘天對現場觀眾表示:“蘋果(Apple)市值已達4萬億美元,而馬斯克的最新薪酬計劃更是以特斯拉(Tesla)市值達到10萬億美元為目標。我深信馬斯克或特斯拉終將實現這一目標??傆幸惶?,市場上會出現一家市值達10萬億美元的公司。換個角度看,除了中美兩國,10萬億美元的體量幾乎相當于世界第三大經濟體。這些公司堪比‘主權實體’,而政府對它們的掌控力已經變得有限。”
從某種意義上說,蘇銘天的預言正在應驗。近日,英偉達(Nvidia)成為史上首家市值突破5萬億美元的公司。在美國總統唐納德·特朗普透露與英偉達首席執行官黃仁勛會面后,該芯片巨頭的股價應聲上漲。
蘇銘天還預測,未來“虛擬人物”或“合成形象”的應用將迅速普及,尤其在廣告領域。
他表示:“據我們判斷,在未來兩三年內,這類應用將變得司空見慣。原因很簡單——經濟效益。廣告業正面臨顛覆性變革,制作成本可削減高達80%至90%。在降低創意成本的同時,為媒體投放騰出更多預算,將在未來變得愈發重要。”(財富中文網)
譯者:郝秀
審校:汪皓
Regulating AI may be a prevalent topic at the highest levels of government and tech, but the moment to get it right may have already passed.
“Regulation is going to have to be self-regulation,” said Sir Martin Sorrell, founder and executive chairman of S4 Capital, this week at the Fortune Global Forum in Riyadh. “The cat is out of the bag. We’ve missed the Oppenheimer moment. Many people compare it to the control of nuclear weapons.”
Sorrell—famed as the founder of advertising giant WPP—went on to explain that tech companies and individual figures like Elon Musk are simply too rich and influential for governments to meaningfully bring down a regulatory hammer.
“Apple’s at $4 trillion, and Musk’s compensation in his latest plan is geared to a $10 trillion valuation,” Sorrell told the audience. “I have no doubt that Musk or Tesla will get to that valuation. At some point, we’ll have a $10 trillion company. To put that into perspective, other than the United States and China, a $10 trillion company would effectively be the third-biggest [economy in the world]. They’re nation-states. The ability of governments to control them, I think, has become limited.”
In some sense, we’re already halfway to Sorrell’s prediction: This week, Nvidia became the first $5 trillion company in history. The chipmaking behemoth’s shares shot up in the aftermath of comments from President Donald Trump about meeting with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang.
Looking ahead, Sorrell also foresees that, especially in advertising, we’re soon set to see audiences lean into and accept “the use of synthetic people … imaginary people in advertising.”
“Our view is that over the next two to three years that will become commonplace,” he said. “The reason is economics. We’re talking about a huge disruption. You’re talking about reductions of as much as 80% to 90% of production costs, out the window, and taking create costs down—whilst media costs and creating more money for media investment will become more and more important.”