
未來幾年,巴西咖啡的風(fēng)味可能會開始有些不同。
這個南美國家是全球最大的阿拉比卡咖啡豆生產(chǎn)國,這是一種風(fēng)味溫和的咖啡豆。但隨著氣候變化使得種植這種豆子變得更加困難,一些農(nóng)戶開始投資種植羅布斯塔咖啡豆。羅布斯塔豆風(fēng)味更苦,但耐高溫性更強,且更抗病害。
巴西傳統(tǒng)的咖啡種植區(qū)主要生產(chǎn)阿拉比卡豆,但這些地區(qū)正面臨更嚴(yán)重、更頻繁的干旱以及更高的氣溫。阿拉比卡豆仍是該國主要的咖啡出口品種,但羅布斯塔豆的產(chǎn)量目前增長更快:根據(jù)追蹤全球咖啡生產(chǎn)的美國農(nóng)業(yè)部數(shù)據(jù),過去十年其產(chǎn)量增長了超過81%。
金融服務(wù)公司StoneX的咖啡市場情報經(jīng)理費爾南多·馬克西米利亞諾(Fernando Maximiliano)表示,對于巴西而言,羅布斯塔豆提供了一個機會,使其即使在氣候變化的影響加劇的情況下,未來也能保持全球最大咖啡供應(yīng)國的地位。
“羅布斯塔產(chǎn)量增長并不一定是需求驅(qū)動的,”他補充道。“實際上,氣候問題和阿拉比卡豆的損失才是刺激羅布斯塔增長的主要因素。”
過去三年,巴西的阿拉比卡咖啡豆產(chǎn)量年增長率約為2%至2.5%,而羅布斯塔豆產(chǎn)量年增長率約為4.8%。據(jù)StoneX稱,在今年的生長季,羅布斯塔豆產(chǎn)量增長了近22%,創(chuàng)下豐收紀(jì)錄。分析人士表示,這意味著羅布斯塔豆的生產(chǎn)因其能更好地應(yīng)對更惡劣的天氣條件以及其盈利能力而脫穎而出。
在巴西一些阿拉比卡豆無法生長的較溫暖地區(qū),咖啡生產(chǎn)商正在尋找生產(chǎn)羅布斯塔豆并減輕高溫影響的方法。在本土樹木和其他物種的樹蔭下種植咖啡樹就是其中一種技術(shù)。
亞馬遜地區(qū)農(nóng)林復(fù)合型羅布斯塔咖啡生產(chǎn)商Café Apuí的商業(yè)總監(jiān)若納塔斯·馬查多(Jonatas Machado)說:“這樣它能保持生產(chǎn)力,土壤也能保持更濕潤一些,因此不會那么容易退化。”
另一種咖啡豆
越南是全球最大的羅布斯塔豆生產(chǎn)國,但巴西正在迎頭趕上。金融服務(wù)公司荷蘭合作銀行(Rabobank)的分析師認(rèn)為,憑借結(jié)構(gòu)完善的供應(yīng)鏈,巴西可能超越這個東南亞國家。
羅布斯塔豆比阿拉比卡豆咖啡因濃度更高,味道更濃烈。但年輕一代不太在意他們喝的咖啡類型或其烘焙程度,往往更喜歡定制化選擇,加入牛奶、奶精和糖漿等東西,這些會掩蓋咖啡豆的風(fēng)味。
市場研究公司歐睿國際(Euromonitor International)食品、烹飪與餐飲全球洞察經(jīng)理馬修·巴里(Matthew Barry)表示:“他們不太在意產(chǎn)地和風(fēng)味描述。”
如果咖啡價格持續(xù)上漲,消費者也可能會轉(zhuǎn)向價格更低的羅布斯塔豆。
在歐洲,未來幾年羅布斯塔豆和阿拉比卡豆之間的價格差距可能會進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大。一項新法律將要求進(jìn)口商品需經(jīng)過認(rèn)證,證明其并非產(chǎn)自近期遭砍伐森林或退化的土地,不過其實施日期尚不明確。主要由羅布斯塔豆制成的速溶咖啡被排除在這些規(guī)則之外。荷蘭合作銀行認(rèn)為,這項豁免可能會增加對基于羅布斯塔豆的產(chǎn)品的需求。
商業(yè)咨詢公司Grand View Research的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,歐盟是速溶咖啡的最大消費市場,占全球相關(guān)收入的近50%。
盡管羅布斯塔豆往往比阿拉比卡豆便宜,但其價格已創(chuàng)下歷史新高。
巴西農(nóng)業(yè)研究公司(Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation)的咖啡研究員亞歷山德羅·特謝拉(Alexsandro Teixeira)表示,這些更高的價格以及這些品種的產(chǎn)量幾乎是阿拉比卡品種兩倍的事實,已說服越來越多的巴西咖啡生產(chǎn)商投資種植羅布斯塔豆。
羅布斯塔豆生產(chǎn)商也在提高其咖啡豆的品質(zhì)。他表示,這使得該品種對消費者更具吸引力,并推動了價格上漲。(財富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
未來幾年,巴西咖啡的風(fēng)味可能會開始有些不同。
這個南美國家是全球最大的阿拉比卡咖啡豆生產(chǎn)國,這是一種風(fēng)味溫和的咖啡豆。但隨著氣候變化使得種植這種豆子變得更加困難,一些農(nóng)戶開始投資種植羅布斯塔咖啡豆。羅布斯塔豆風(fēng)味更苦,但耐高溫性更強,且更抗病害。
巴西傳統(tǒng)的咖啡種植區(qū)主要生產(chǎn)阿拉比卡豆,但這些地區(qū)正面臨更嚴(yán)重、更頻繁的干旱以及更高的氣溫。阿拉比卡豆仍是該國主要的咖啡出口品種,但羅布斯塔豆的產(chǎn)量目前增長更快:根據(jù)追蹤全球咖啡生產(chǎn)的美國農(nóng)業(yè)部數(shù)據(jù),過去十年其產(chǎn)量增長了超過81%。
金融服務(wù)公司StoneX的咖啡市場情報經(jīng)理費爾南多·馬克西米利亞諾(Fernando Maximiliano)表示,對于巴西而言,羅布斯塔豆提供了一個機會,使其即使在氣候變化的影響加劇的情況下,未來也能保持全球最大咖啡供應(yīng)國的地位。
“羅布斯塔產(chǎn)量增長并不一定是需求驅(qū)動的,”他補充道。“實際上,氣候問題和阿拉比卡豆的損失才是刺激羅布斯塔增長的主要因素。”
過去三年,巴西的阿拉比卡咖啡豆產(chǎn)量年增長率約為2%至2.5%,而羅布斯塔豆產(chǎn)量年增長率約為4.8%。據(jù)StoneX稱,在今年的生長季,羅布斯塔豆產(chǎn)量增長了近22%,創(chuàng)下豐收紀(jì)錄。分析人士表示,這意味著羅布斯塔豆的生產(chǎn)因其能更好地應(yīng)對更惡劣的天氣條件以及其盈利能力而脫穎而出。
在巴西一些阿拉比卡豆無法生長的較溫暖地區(qū),咖啡生產(chǎn)商正在尋找生產(chǎn)羅布斯塔豆并減輕高溫影響的方法。在本土樹木和其他物種的樹蔭下種植咖啡樹就是其中一種技術(shù)。
亞馬遜地區(qū)農(nóng)林復(fù)合型羅布斯塔咖啡生產(chǎn)商Café Apuí的商業(yè)總監(jiān)若納塔斯·馬查多(Jonatas Machado)說:“這樣它能保持生產(chǎn)力,土壤也能保持更濕潤一些,因此不會那么容易退化。”
另一種咖啡豆
越南是全球最大的羅布斯塔豆生產(chǎn)國,但巴西正在迎頭趕上。金融服務(wù)公司荷蘭合作銀行(Rabobank)的分析師認(rèn)為,憑借結(jié)構(gòu)完善的供應(yīng)鏈,巴西可能超越這個東南亞國家。
羅布斯塔豆比阿拉比卡豆咖啡因濃度更高,味道更濃烈。但年輕一代不太在意他們喝的咖啡類型或其烘焙程度,往往更喜歡定制化選擇,加入牛奶、奶精和糖漿等東西,這些會掩蓋咖啡豆的風(fēng)味。
市場研究公司歐睿國際(Euromonitor International)食品、烹飪與餐飲全球洞察經(jīng)理馬修·巴里(Matthew Barry)表示:“他們不太在意產(chǎn)地和風(fēng)味描述。”
如果咖啡價格持續(xù)上漲,消費者也可能會轉(zhuǎn)向價格更低的羅布斯塔豆。
在歐洲,未來幾年羅布斯塔豆和阿拉比卡豆之間的價格差距可能會進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大。一項新法律將要求進(jìn)口商品需經(jīng)過認(rèn)證,證明其并非產(chǎn)自近期遭砍伐森林或退化的土地,不過其實施日期尚不明確。主要由羅布斯塔豆制成的速溶咖啡被排除在這些規(guī)則之外。荷蘭合作銀行認(rèn)為,這項豁免可能會增加對基于羅布斯塔豆的產(chǎn)品的需求。
商業(yè)咨詢公司Grand View Research的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,歐盟是速溶咖啡的最大消費市場,占全球相關(guān)收入的近50%。
盡管羅布斯塔豆往往比阿拉比卡豆便宜,但其價格已創(chuàng)下歷史新高。
巴西農(nóng)業(yè)研究公司(Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation)的咖啡研究員亞歷山德羅·特謝拉(Alexsandro Teixeira)表示,這些更高的價格以及這些品種的產(chǎn)量幾乎是阿拉比卡品種兩倍的事實,已說服越來越多的巴西咖啡生產(chǎn)商投資種植羅布斯塔豆。
羅布斯塔豆生產(chǎn)商也在提高其咖啡豆的品質(zhì)。他表示,這使得該品種對消費者更具吸引力,并推動了價格上漲。(財富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
In the coming years, coffee from Brazil might start to taste a bit different.
The South American country is the world's biggest producer of arabica, a mild variety of coffee bean. But as climate change makes it harder to grow those beans, some farmers are investing in robusta, which produces a more bitter bean but can tolerate higher temperatures and is more resistant to diseases.
Brazil's traditional coffee growing regions, which largely produce arabica, have been beset by more intense and frequent droughts, and hotter temperatures. Arabica is still the country's main coffee export, but robusta production is now growing at a faster rate: by over 81% over the past 10 years, according to the United States Department of Agriculture, which tracks global coffee production.
For Brazil, robusta provides an opportunity to remain the world's largest coffee supplier in the future even as the effects of climate change intensify, says Fernando Maximiliano, Coffee Market Intelligence Manager at StoneX, a financial services company.
"It wasn't necessarily demand that resulted in the growth of robusta production," he adds. "In reality, climate problems and losses in arabica were the main factors that contributed to stimulating robusta growth."
For the past three years, arabica coffee production in Brazil has grown at a rate of around 2% to 2.5% annually, while robusta production has risen about 4.8% annually. This year's growing season, robusta hit a nearly 22% increase, a record harvest, according to StoneX. This means that robusta production has stood out for its ability to better cope with more adverse weather conditions and also for its profitability, analysts say.
In warmer areas of Brazil where arabica can't grow, coffee producers are finding ways to produce robusta and mitigate the impact of hotter temperatures. Planting coffee trees under the shade of native trees and other species is one of these techniques.
"This way it will remain productive, it will stay a little more moist, so it won't degrade so easily," Jonatas Machado, commercial director of Café Apuí, an agroforestry robusta coffee producer in the Amazon region.
A different bean
Vietnam is the world's biggest robusta producer, but Brazil is catching up, and it could surpass the Southeast Asian country due to a well-structured supply chain, according to analysts at Rabobank, a financial services company.
Robusta has a higher caffeine concentration and a stronger taste than arabica. But younger generations pay less attention to the type of coffee they drink or its roast, and tend to prefer customized options, adding in things like milks, creamers and syrups, which hide the flavor of the beans.
"They're not so much about the origins, the tasting notes," said Matthew Barry, global insight manager for food, cooking and meals at market research firm Euromonitor International.
If coffee prices keep rising, consumers might also gravitate towards robusta, which costs less.
In Europe, the gap between robusta and arabica prices will likely be even wider in the coming years. A new law will require that imported commodities are certified to show they did not originate from recently deforested or degraded land, though its implementation date is still unclear. Instant coffee, which is mostly made with the robusta variety, is excluded from these rules. That carveout could increase the demand for robusta-based products, according to Rabobank.
The EU is the largest consumer of instant coffee, accounting for almost 50% of global revenue, according to Grand View Research, a business consulting firm.
While robusta tends to be cheaper than arabica, its prices have been reaching record highs.
These higher prices and the cultivars being almost twice as productive as arabica varietals have convinced a growing number of Brazilian coffee producers to invest in planting robusta, said Alexsandro Teixeira, coffee researcher at the Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation.
Robusta producers are also improving the quality of their beans. That has made the varietal more attractive to consumers and led to an uptick in prices, he said.