
三年前,谷歌因ChatGPT拉響“紅色警報”,其首席執行官桑達爾·皮查伊警告稱,它可能威脅搜索業務的未來。如今,薩姆·奧爾特曼自己也拉響了警報——這一次是因為谷歌Gemini 3的回歸,以及OpenAI與Anthropic、Meta等對手之間日益激烈的尖端AI模型競賽。
據科技新聞網站The Information報道,薩姆·奧爾特曼在昨日發給員工的內部備忘錄中表示,隨著來自谷歌及其他AI競爭對手的壓力加劇,他宣布進入“紅色警報”狀態,以調集更多資源改進ChatGPT。他表示,作為此次調整的一部分,OpenAI將推遲其他計劃,包括其廣告計劃。報道稱,奧爾特曼寫道:“ChatGPT正處于一個關鍵時刻。”
兩周前,谷歌發布了其最新模型Gemini 3,在發布首日便大范圍接入了谷歌擁有數十億用戶的龐大生態系統,其中包括其稱為有史以來最快的谷歌搜索部署。
Gemini 3這次自信而廣泛的發布,與2022年11月30日ChatGPT發布后谷歌所處的境地截然不同。在今年9月Salesforce的Dreamforce活動上接受采訪時,皮查伊承認,OpenAI在發布聊天機器人方面搶在了谷歌前面。
皮查伊說:“我們知道,在另一種情況下,我們可能會在幾個月后才推出我們的聊天機器人。我們當時還沒有把它做到可以發布、并且人們能接受谷歌推出那個產品的水平。那時候它還存在很多問題。”
這些問題在谷歌于2023年12月試探性推出首個Gemini模型后依然存在——隨后,該公司因其“覺醒”傾向的輸出以及不符合史實或不準確的圖像和文本而面臨強烈反彈,最終承認“未達預期”。其由Gemini驅動的搜索AI概覽功能也引發了一場網絡風暴,因為該系統曾 famously 告訴用戶吃膠水和石頭。
但今年,Gemini 3在多模態推理、數學和代碼方面強勁的基準測試結果為其贏得了信譽和勢頭,新數據顯示Gemini在10月份月活用戶增長至6.5億,也起到了同樣作用。
與此同時,奧爾特曼并非不知情:在上周發送的內部備忘錄中,他警告員工注意“暫時的經濟逆風”,并預測谷歌的再度崛起將帶來“艱難的氛圍”。
形勢無疑已經逆轉。在2022年底ChatGPT發布之前,谷歌被普遍認為是全球AI研究的領導者,該公司做出了許多使現代生成式AI成為可能的突破。
例如,谷歌研究人員在里程碑論文《注意力就是全部》中發明了Transformer架構,該架構是每一個現代大語言模型的基礎。谷歌還在2019年推出了BERT,該模型在數年內都是最先進的語言模型。
還有DeepMind,這家位于倫敦的AI研究實驗室由德米斯·哈薩比斯(Demis Hassabis)等人于2010年聯合創立,并于2014年1月被谷歌以大約5億美元收購。早在ChatGPT出現之前,DeepMind就登上了全球新聞頭條:其AlphaGo程序在古老的圍棋比賽中擊敗了世界冠軍;其AlphaZero系統在數小時內自學了國際象棋和其他復雜游戲;其AlphaFold項目破解了一個關于蛋白質如何折疊的、困擾科學界50年的難題。
接著便是現在所謂的“ChatGPT時刻”——那一刻,AI的重心顯然已經轉移。幾乎一夜之間,谷歌發現自己需要保衛地盤并奮力追趕。
如今,角色再次逆轉。在AI競賽中,需要保衛地盤的是OpenAI。誠然,ChatGPT的用戶數量遠高于Gemini:OpenAI報告有8億周活躍用戶。并且對許多用戶來說,ChatGPT就是AI的代名詞。
盡管如此,隨著谷歌的Gemini取得進展,OpenAI也無法放慢腳步。它在持續消耗資金的同時,指望能夠再籌集1000億美元,并且還需要繼續增加訂閱收入以滿足投資者。(它預測今年來自ChatGPT的收入將接近100億美元。)
盡管數十名OpenAI頂級研究人員已經離開,加入了前OpenAI首席技術官米拉·穆拉蒂(Mira Murati)的Thinking Machines,以及由前Scale AI首席執行官亞歷山德·王(Alexandr Wang)領導的Meta新超級智能實驗室,OpenAI仍必須繼續改進ChatGPT。
奧爾特曼的“紅色警報”備忘錄稱,OpenAI將于下周發布一款新的推理模型,該模型在內部評估中優于谷歌的Gemini 3。即便如此,他承認公司仍需對ChatGPT的體驗進行重大改進。
早在2022年,谷歌的“紅色警報”意味著團隊很可能在假期里爭分奪秒地應對ChatGPT。今年,奧爾特曼的備忘錄暗示,OpenAI的員工可能是那些需要取消冬季計劃的人。(財富中文網)
譯者:劉進龍
審校:汪皓
三年前,谷歌因ChatGPT拉響“紅色警報”,其首席執行官桑達爾·皮查伊警告稱,它可能威脅搜索業務的未來。如今,薩姆·奧爾特曼自己也拉響了警報——這一次是因為谷歌Gemini 3的回歸,以及OpenAI與Anthropic、Meta等對手之間日益激烈的尖端AI模型競賽。
據科技新聞網站The Information報道,薩姆·奧爾特曼在昨日發給員工的內部備忘錄中表示,隨著來自谷歌及其他AI競爭對手的壓力加劇,他宣布進入“紅色警報”狀態,以調集更多資源改進ChatGPT。他表示,作為此次調整的一部分,OpenAI將推遲其他計劃,包括其廣告計劃。報道稱,奧爾特曼寫道:“ChatGPT正處于一個關鍵時刻。”
兩周前,谷歌發布了其最新模型Gemini 3,在發布首日便大范圍接入了谷歌擁有數十億用戶的龐大生態系統,其中包括其稱為有史以來最快的谷歌搜索部署。
Gemini 3這次自信而廣泛的發布,與2022年11月30日ChatGPT發布后谷歌所處的境地截然不同。在今年9月Salesforce的Dreamforce活動上接受采訪時,皮查伊承認,OpenAI在發布聊天機器人方面搶在了谷歌前面。
皮查伊說:“我們知道,在另一種情況下,我們可能會在幾個月后才推出我們的聊天機器人。我們當時還沒有把它做到可以發布、并且人們能接受谷歌推出那個產品的水平。那時候它還存在很多問題。”
這些問題在谷歌于2023年12月試探性推出首個Gemini模型后依然存在——隨后,該公司因其“覺醒”傾向的輸出以及不符合史實或不準確的圖像和文本而面臨強烈反彈,最終承認“未達預期”。其由Gemini驅動的搜索AI概覽功能也引發了一場網絡風暴,因為該系統曾 famously 告訴用戶吃膠水和石頭。
但今年,Gemini 3在多模態推理、數學和代碼方面強勁的基準測試結果為其贏得了信譽和勢頭,新數據顯示Gemini在10月份月活用戶增長至6.5億,也起到了同樣作用。
與此同時,奧爾特曼并非不知情:在上周發送的內部備忘錄中,他警告員工注意“暫時的經濟逆風”,并預測谷歌的再度崛起將帶來“艱難的氛圍”。
形勢無疑已經逆轉。在2022年底ChatGPT發布之前,谷歌被普遍認為是全球AI研究的領導者,該公司做出了許多使現代生成式AI成為可能的突破。
例如,谷歌研究人員在里程碑論文《注意力就是全部》中發明了Transformer架構,該架構是每一個現代大語言模型的基礎。谷歌還在2019年推出了BERT,該模型在數年內都是最先進的語言模型。
還有DeepMind,這家位于倫敦的AI研究實驗室由德米斯·哈薩比斯(Demis Hassabis)等人于2010年聯合創立,并于2014年1月被谷歌以大約5億美元收購。早在ChatGPT出現之前,DeepMind就登上了全球新聞頭條:其AlphaGo程序在古老的圍棋比賽中擊敗了世界冠軍;其AlphaZero系統在數小時內自學了國際象棋和其他復雜游戲;其AlphaFold項目破解了一個關于蛋白質如何折疊的、困擾科學界50年的難題。
接著便是現在所謂的“ChatGPT時刻”——那一刻,AI的重心顯然已經轉移。幾乎一夜之間,谷歌發現自己需要保衛地盤并奮力追趕。
如今,角色再次逆轉。在AI競賽中,需要保衛地盤的是OpenAI。誠然,ChatGPT的用戶數量遠高于Gemini:OpenAI報告有8億周活躍用戶。并且對許多用戶來說,ChatGPT就是AI的代名詞。
盡管如此,隨著谷歌的Gemini取得進展,OpenAI也無法放慢腳步。它在持續消耗資金的同時,指望能夠再籌集1000億美元,并且還需要繼續增加訂閱收入以滿足投資者。(它預測今年來自ChatGPT的收入將接近100億美元。)
盡管數十名OpenAI頂級研究人員已經離開,加入了前OpenAI首席技術官米拉·穆拉蒂(Mira Murati)的Thinking Machines,以及由前Scale AI首席執行官亞歷山德·王(Alexandr Wang)領導的Meta新超級智能實驗室,OpenAI仍必須繼續改進ChatGPT。
奧爾特曼的“紅色警報”備忘錄稱,OpenAI將于下周發布一款新的推理模型,該模型在內部評估中優于谷歌的Gemini 3。即便如此,他承認公司仍需對ChatGPT的體驗進行重大改進。
早在2022年,谷歌的“紅色警報”意味著團隊很可能在假期里爭分奪秒地應對ChatGPT。今年,奧爾特曼的備忘錄暗示,OpenAI的員工可能是那些需要取消冬季計劃的人。(財富中文網)
譯者:劉進龍
審校:汪皓
Three years ago, Google sounded a "Code Red" over ChatGPT, with CEO Sundar Pichai warning it could threaten the future of Search. Now Sam Altman is sounding an alarm of his own---this time over Google's Gemini 3 comeback and an increasingly fierce frontier AI model race with OpenAI's rivals, including Anthropic and Meta.
In an internal memo to employees yesterday, Sam Altman said he was declaring a "Code Red" to marshal more resources toward improving ChatGPT as competitive pressure from Google and other AI rivals intensifies, according to tech news site The Information. As part of the shift, he said, OpenAI will delay other initiatives, including its advertising plans. "We are at a critical time for ChatGPT," Altman wrote, according to the report.
Two weeks ago, Google released its latest model, Gemini 3, in a sweeping day-one rollout across a large swath of Google's ecosystem with its billions of users, including what it said was its fastest-ever deployment into Google Search.
The confident, widespread release of Gemini 3 was a long way from where Google was after the release of ChatGPT on Nov. 30, 2022. In an interview at Salesforce's Dreamforce event this September, Pichai admitted that OpenAI had beaten Google to releasing a chatbot.
"We knew in a different world, we would've probably launched our chatbot maybe a few months down the line," Pichai said. "We hadn't quite gotten it to a level where you could put it out and people would've been okay with Google putting out that product. It still had a lot of issues at that time."
Those issues remained after Google's tentative debut of the first Gemini model in December 2023---after which the company faced intense backlash over "woke" outputs and ahistorical or inaccurate images and text, ultimately admitting it had "missed the mark." Its Gemini-powered AI Overviews in Search also triggered an online furor after the system famously told users to eat glue and rocks.
But this year, Gemini 3's strong benchmark results on multimodal reasoning, math, and code gave it credibility and momentum, as did new data that showed Gemini grew to 650 million monthly users in October.
Altman, meanwhile, has not been living under a rock: In an internal memo sent last week, he warned staff about "temporary economic headwinds" and forecast "rough vibes" caused by Google's renewed surge.
The tides have certainly turned. Before ChatGPT's release in late 2022, Google was broadly considered the global leader in AI research, and the company produced many of the breakthroughs that made modern generative AI possible.
For example, Google researchers invented the transformer architecture in the landmark paper "Attention Is All You Need," which underpins every modern large language model. Google also introduced BERT in 2019, which for several years was the state-of-the-art language model.
And then there was DeepMind, a London-based AI research lab cofounded in 2010 by Demis Hassabis, and acquired by Google for roughly $500 million in January 2014. Long before ChatGPT, DeepMind made global headlines: Its AlphaGo program beat the world champion at the ancient game of Go; its AlphaZero system taught itself chess and other complex games in hours; and its AlphaFold project cracked a 50-year-old scientific puzzle about how proteins fold.
Then came what is now known as the "ChatGPT moment"---the instant it became clear the center of gravity in AI had shifted. Practically overnight, Google found itself defending its turf and racing to catch up.
Now the roles have reversed once again. It is OpenAI that is defending its turf in the AI race. To be sure, ChatGPT's user numbers are far higher than Gemini's: OpenAI reports 800 million weekly active users. And to many users, ChatGPT is synonymous with AI.
Still, as Google's Gemini gains ground, OpenAI cannot afford to slow down. It is counting on being able to raise an additional $100 billion as it burns through cash, and it also needs to continue growing its revenue from subscriptions to satisfy investors. (It predicted nearly $10 billion in revenue from ChatGPT this year.)
It also must continue to improve ChatGPT even though dozens of top OpenAI researchers have decamped for former OpenAI CTO Mira Murati's Thinking Machines and for Meta's new Superintelligence Labs helmed by former Scale AI CEO Alexandr Wang.
Altman's "Code Red" memo said OpenAI will release a new reasoning model next week that beats Google's Gemini 3 in internal evaluations. Even so, he acknowledged the company still needs to make major improvements to the ChatGPT experience.
Back in 2022, Google's "Code Red" meant teams likely spent their holidays racing to respond to ChatGPT. This year, Altman's memo hints that OpenAI staffers may be the ones canceling their winter plans.