
這份財報包含令人瞠目的數(shù)據(jù):微軟云業(yè)務(wù)季度營收突破500億美元里程碑,在OpenAI的助力下,積壓訂單規(guī)模已翻倍不止,達到6250億美元。然而這家科技巨頭的股價在盤后交易中暴跌近5%,原因在于其第二季度財報顯示,Azure云服務(wù)營收增速放緩,且微軟承認產(chǎn)能受限問題將“至少”持續(xù)至本財年末(6月收官)。
在周三收盤后的分析師財報電話會議上,微軟董事長兼首席執(zhí)行官薩提亞·納德拉、首席財務(wù)官艾米·胡德(Amy Hood)被追問投資者的核心顧慮:在資本支出大幅攀升的情況下,Azure云平臺營收增速放緩,這兩大跡象表明,微軟難以滿足人工智能領(lǐng)域的需求。這兩項數(shù)據(jù)也引發(fā)外界質(zhì)疑:微軟能否按計劃快速完成算力基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的擴容,這一瓶頸是否會進一步限制Azure的業(yè)務(wù)增長。從本質(zhì)上看,投資者擔(dān)憂,這或許是微軟亮起的首個預(yù)警信號。
摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)美國軟件研究主管基思·韋斯(Keith Weiss)在電話會議中指出:“令投資者憂心的核心問題之一,是資本支出增速超出預(yù)期,而Azure云服務(wù)營收增速卻略低于預(yù)期。這本質(zhì)上關(guān)乎對資本支出長期回報率的擔(dān)憂,即隨著時間的推移,這些資本支出能否帶來相應(yīng)回報。”
先明確核心財務(wù)數(shù)據(jù):僅2026財年第一季度,微軟的資本支出就高達349億美元,其中約半數(shù)用于采購圖形處理器(GPU)、中央處理器(CPU)等硬件資產(chǎn)——這些芯片應(yīng)用于個人電腦、服務(wù)器及Azure數(shù)據(jù)中心。第二季度,微軟資本支出約為375億美元,使得上半年資本支出總額達到724億美元,凸顯出公司在基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施領(lǐng)域的巨額投入。在第一季度的溝通中,胡德曾向投資者表示,市場需求持續(xù)增長、公司剩余履約義務(wù)規(guī)模不斷攀升,這意味著公司將增加芯片采購支出。
與此同時,Azure業(yè)務(wù)增長趨于平緩,增速從第一季度的40%降至第二季度的39%。“我們持續(xù)在各類工作負載、客戶群體和區(qū)域市場中看到強勁需求,且需求持續(xù)超過現(xiàn)有供應(yīng)能力。”胡德在電話會議中表示。
最新財報數(shù)據(jù)引發(fā)投資者對產(chǎn)能限制和投資回報率的思考。
胡德駁斥了投資者將資本支出與Azure營收數(shù)據(jù)直接掛鉤的觀點。“有時候,我認為更合理的方式是,將我們公布的Azure業(yè)績指引,視作反映其營收的產(chǎn)能分配指引。”胡德回應(yīng)韋斯提問時解釋道。
“我們當前的首要任務(wù),是應(yīng)對微軟365 Copilot、GitHub Copilot兩款產(chǎn)品使用量增加、銷量增長以及加速普及帶來的問題。”她補充道。在此之后,微軟將資金投入研發(fā)與產(chǎn)品創(chuàng)新,二者均屬于長期投資。“剩下的資金會用于滿足Azure業(yè)務(wù)持續(xù)增長帶來的產(chǎn)能擴張需求。”胡德表示。
胡德表示,如果微軟將第一、二季度新增的圖形處理器全部調(diào)配給Azure使用,那么Azure的增速將遠高于公司公布的39%。
納德拉強調(diào)了胡德的觀點,他指出,投資者應(yīng)綜合評估整個人工智能業(yè)務(wù)板塊的表現(xiàn)。他表示投資者“顯然”應(yīng)關(guān)注Azure,但也不應(yīng)忽視微軟365 Copilot、GitHub Copilot、Dragon Copilot和Security Copilot——這些產(chǎn)品均搭載人工智能技術(shù)。
納德拉稱:“拓展Azure的客戶群體對我們至關(guān)重要,但贏得微軟365、GitHub或是Dragon Copilot的客戶同樣重要。”他還表示,算力方面的投入,同樣具備研發(fā)投資的屬性。
“你必須將算力投入也視作研發(fā)支出,這是這類投資的第二重屬性。”納德拉說道,“我們顯然正充分運用所有這些資源進行優(yōu)化,以促進公司長遠發(fā)展。”
盡管如此,投資者仍擔(dān)憂,持續(xù)存在的產(chǎn)能受限問題可能導(dǎo)致這家科技巨頭無法像華爾街預(yù)期的那樣,迅速將創(chuàng)紀錄的積壓訂單(在申報文件中以剩余履約義務(wù)的形式呈現(xiàn))轉(zhuǎn)化為營收增長。此外,在下一季度財報中,投資者將關(guān)注是否出現(xiàn)營收增長的信號,以驗證基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投入的合理性。
盡管投資者憂心忡忡,股價在盤后交易中下跌,但最新財報仍釋放出諸多積極信號。微軟第二季度營收達813億美元,較去年同期的696億美元增長17%,遠超公司此前給出的795億至806億美元的業(yè)績指引區(qū)間。營業(yè)利潤從317億美元增長21%至383億美元,稀釋后每股收益從3.35美元上漲24%至4.14美元。更值得關(guān)注的是,云業(yè)務(wù)季度營收首次突破500億美元大關(guān),達到515億美元,同比增長26%。
微軟剩余履約義務(wù)同比增長110%,達到6250億美元,這一增長一定程度上得益于10月公司與OpenAI達成的2500億美元合作承諾。胡德表示,投資者無需擔(dān)憂公司對這一核心合作伙伴的風(fēng)險敞口,并指出,公司剩余履約義務(wù)中,約有3440億美元源于多元化的其他客戶群體,這部分業(yè)務(wù)規(guī)模同比增長28%,胡德稱這一增速遠超微軟的多數(shù)同行。
胡德還表示:“約55%、也就是3500億美元的剩余履約義務(wù)涉及我們多元的產(chǎn)品組合、廣泛的客戶群體——涵蓋各類解決方案、Azure云服務(wù)、不同行業(yè)及全球區(qū)域市場。坦率而言,我們對此信心十足。”(財富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
這份財報包含令人瞠目的數(shù)據(jù):微軟云業(yè)務(wù)季度營收突破500億美元里程碑,在OpenAI的助力下,積壓訂單規(guī)模已翻倍不止,達到6250億美元。然而這家科技巨頭的股價在盤后交易中暴跌近5%,原因在于其第二季度財報顯示,Azure云服務(wù)營收增速放緩,且微軟承認產(chǎn)能受限問題將“至少”持續(xù)至本財年末(6月收官)。
在周三收盤后的分析師財報電話會議上,微軟董事長兼首席執(zhí)行官薩提亞·納德拉、首席財務(wù)官艾米·胡德(Amy Hood)被追問投資者的核心顧慮:在資本支出大幅攀升的情況下,Azure云平臺營收增速放緩,這兩大跡象表明,微軟難以滿足人工智能領(lǐng)域的需求。這兩項數(shù)據(jù)也引發(fā)外界質(zhì)疑:微軟能否按計劃快速完成算力基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的擴容,這一瓶頸是否會進一步限制Azure的業(yè)務(wù)增長。從本質(zhì)上看,投資者擔(dān)憂,這或許是微軟亮起的首個預(yù)警信號。
摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)美國軟件研究主管基思·韋斯(Keith Weiss)在電話會議中指出:“令投資者憂心的核心問題之一,是資本支出增速超出預(yù)期,而Azure云服務(wù)營收增速卻略低于預(yù)期。這本質(zhì)上關(guān)乎對資本支出長期回報率的擔(dān)憂,即隨著時間的推移,這些資本支出能否帶來相應(yīng)回報。”
先明確核心財務(wù)數(shù)據(jù):僅2026財年第一季度,微軟的資本支出就高達349億美元,其中約半數(shù)用于采購圖形處理器(GPU)、中央處理器(CPU)等硬件資產(chǎn)——這些芯片應(yīng)用于個人電腦、服務(wù)器及Azure數(shù)據(jù)中心。第二季度,微軟資本支出約為375億美元,使得上半年資本支出總額達到724億美元,凸顯出公司在基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施領(lǐng)域的巨額投入。在第一季度的溝通中,胡德曾向投資者表示,市場需求持續(xù)增長、公司剩余履約義務(wù)規(guī)模不斷攀升,這意味著公司將增加芯片采購支出。
與此同時,Azure業(yè)務(wù)增長趨于平緩,增速從第一季度的40%降至第二季度的39%。“我們持續(xù)在各類工作負載、客戶群體和區(qū)域市場中看到強勁需求,且需求持續(xù)超過現(xiàn)有供應(yīng)能力。”胡德在電話會議中表示。
最新財報數(shù)據(jù)引發(fā)投資者對產(chǎn)能限制和投資回報率的思考。
胡德駁斥了投資者將資本支出與Azure營收數(shù)據(jù)直接掛鉤的觀點。“有時候,我認為更合理的方式是,將我們公布的Azure業(yè)績指引,視作反映其營收的產(chǎn)能分配指引。”胡德回應(yīng)韋斯提問時解釋道。
“我們當前的首要任務(wù),是應(yīng)對微軟365 Copilot、GitHub Copilot兩款產(chǎn)品使用量增加、銷量增長以及加速普及帶來的問題。”她補充道。在此之后,微軟將資金投入研發(fā)與產(chǎn)品創(chuàng)新,二者均屬于長期投資。“剩下的資金會用于滿足Azure業(yè)務(wù)持續(xù)增長帶來的產(chǎn)能擴張需求。”胡德表示。
胡德表示,如果微軟將第一、二季度新增的圖形處理器全部調(diào)配給Azure使用,那么Azure的增速將遠高于公司公布的39%。
納德拉強調(diào)了胡德的觀點,他指出,投資者應(yīng)綜合評估整個人工智能業(yè)務(wù)板塊的表現(xiàn)。他表示投資者“顯然”應(yīng)關(guān)注Azure,但也不應(yīng)忽視微軟365 Copilot、GitHub Copilot、Dragon Copilot和Security Copilot——這些產(chǎn)品均搭載人工智能技術(shù)。
納德拉稱:“拓展Azure的客戶群體對我們至關(guān)重要,但贏得微軟365、GitHub或是Dragon Copilot的客戶同樣重要。”他還表示,算力方面的投入,同樣具備研發(fā)投資的屬性。
“你必須將算力投入也視作研發(fā)支出,這是這類投資的第二重屬性。”納德拉說道,“我們顯然正充分運用所有這些資源進行優(yōu)化,以促進公司長遠發(fā)展。”
盡管如此,投資者仍擔(dān)憂,持續(xù)存在的產(chǎn)能受限問題可能導(dǎo)致這家科技巨頭無法像華爾街預(yù)期的那樣,迅速將創(chuàng)紀錄的積壓訂單(在申報文件中以剩余履約義務(wù)的形式呈現(xiàn))轉(zhuǎn)化為營收增長。此外,在下一季度財報中,投資者將關(guān)注是否出現(xiàn)營收增長的信號,以驗證基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投入的合理性。
盡管投資者憂心忡忡,股價在盤后交易中下跌,但最新財報仍釋放出諸多積極信號。微軟第二季度營收達813億美元,較去年同期的696億美元增長17%,遠超公司此前給出的795億至806億美元的業(yè)績指引區(qū)間。營業(yè)利潤從317億美元增長21%至383億美元,稀釋后每股收益從3.35美元上漲24%至4.14美元。更值得關(guān)注的是,云業(yè)務(wù)季度營收首次突破500億美元大關(guān),達到515億美元,同比增長26%。
微軟剩余履約義務(wù)同比增長110%,達到6250億美元,這一增長一定程度上得益于10月公司與OpenAI達成的2500億美元合作承諾。胡德表示,投資者無需擔(dān)憂公司對這一核心合作伙伴的風(fēng)險敞口,并指出,公司剩余履約義務(wù)中,約有3440億美元源于多元化的其他客戶群體,這部分業(yè)務(wù)規(guī)模同比增長28%,胡德稱這一增速遠超微軟的多數(shù)同行。
胡德還表示:“約55%、也就是3500億美元的剩余履約義務(wù)涉及我們多元的產(chǎn)品組合、廣泛的客戶群體——涵蓋各類解決方案、Azure云服務(wù)、不同行業(yè)及全球區(qū)域市場。坦率而言,我們對此信心十足。”(財富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
It was an earnings report that contained some stunning numbers: Microsoft reported crossing a significant $50 billion quarterly revenue milestone for its cloud business, and said its demand backlog had more than doubled, to $625 billion, with a boost from OpenAI. But the tech giant’s stock tumbled nearly 5% in after-hours trading, following a second quarter earnings release that showed a slowdown in Azure revenue growth and capacity constraints that Microsoft admitted will extend to “at least” the end of its fiscal year in June.
During the earnings call with analysts after market close on Wednesday, chairman and CEO Satya Nadella and chief financial officer Amy Hood were pressed on investor fears over a slowdown in revenue growth for the Azure platform amid soaring capital expenditures—both signs that the company is struggling to keep up with AI demand. Those two figures combined have given rise to questions about whether Microsoft can build out computing capacity as fast as planned, and if that issue will further limit Azure’s growth. Essentially, investors are worried they might be seeing the first blush of a yellow flag.
“One of the core issues that is weighing on investors is capex is growing faster than we expected, and maybe Azure is growing a little bit slower than we expected,” said Keith Weiss, head of U.S. software research at Morgan Stanley, during the call. “That fundamentally comes down to a concern on the [return on investment], on this capex spend over time.”
To level-set: Microsoft spent $34.9 billion on capital expenditures in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 alone, with roughly half dedicated to assets including GPUs and CPUs, which are the chips it uses in PCs, servers, and the Azure data centers. In Q2, capex was roughly $37.5 billion, which brought the first half total to $72.4 billion, signaling significant infrastructure spending. In the first quarter, Hood told investors the company was seeing growing demand and a rising RPO balance that meant it would increase its chips spending.
Meanwhile, Azure growth flattened out, falling from 40% in the first quarter to 39% in the second. “We continue to see strong demand across workloads, customer segments and geographic regions, and demand continues to exceed available supply,” said Hood during the call.
The latest earnings figures have investors thinking about capacity constraints, and ROI questions.
Hood pushed back on the idea that investors should draw a direct correlation between capital expenditures and Azure’s revenue figures. “Sometimes I think it’s probably better to think about the Azure guidance that we give as an allocated capacity guide about what we can deliver in Azure revenue,” Hood told Weiss in response to his question.
“The first thing we’re doing is solving for the increased usage and sales and the accelerating pace of the M365 Copilot, as well as GitHub Copilot,” she said. Then, Microsoft invests in R&D and product innovation, which are both long-term investments. “You end up with the remainder going toward serving the Azure capacity that continues to grow in terms of demand,” said Hood.
If Microsoft had allocated all new GPUs from the first and second quarters exclusively to Azure, Hood stated, Azure’s growth would have been well above the 39% Microsoft reported.
Nadella underscored Hood’s point, noting that investors should evaluate performance across the entire AI enterprise. He said investors should “obviously” consider Azure, but shouldn’t forget about Microsoft 365 Copilot, Github Copilot, Dragon Copilot, and Security Copilot, all of which incorporate AI.
“Acquiring an Azure customer is super important to us, but so is acquiring an M365, or a GitHub or a Dragon Copilot [customer],” said Nadella. He said compute spending also functions as an R&D-like investment.
“You’ve got to think about compute as also R&D, and that’s sort of the second element of it,” said Nadella. “And so we’re using all that, obviously, to optimize for the long term.”
Still, investors are likely to remain concerned that the ongoing capacity constraints could prevent the tech giant from converting its record RPO backlog, reported in filings in the form of remaining performance obligations (RPO), into revenue growth as fast as Wall Street expects. In addition, investors will be looking next quarter for signs that the infrastructure spending is justified by revenue growth.
Despite the investor concerns and the after-hours stock drop, much of the news from the latest earnings report was positive. Microsoft reported second quarter revenue of $81.3 billion, up 17% from $69.6 billion a year ago, leapfrogging past the company’s guidance of $79.5 billion to $80.6 billion. Operating income grew 21% to $38.3 billion from $31.7 billion, while diluted earnings per share rose 24% to $4.14 from $3.35. Moreover, the cloud business cracked $50 billion in quarterly revenue for the first time ever, hitting $51.5 billion, growth of 26% year over year.
RPO was up 110% year over year to $625 billion, driven in part by a $250 billion commitment from OpenAI that was announced in October. Hood said investors shouldn’t worry about the exposure to one of Microsoft’s major partners, pointing out that roughly $344 billion of the RPO came from a diverse set of other customers. RPO from that set of customers grew 28% year over year, which Hood said was larger than most of Microsoft’s peers.
Some “55% or roughly $350 billion is related to the breadth of our portfolio, breadth of customers, across solutions, across Azure, across industries, across geographies,” said Hood. “Frankly, I think we have super high confidence in it.”