
一位白手起家的億萬(wàn)富翁認(rèn)為,如果你昨晚在超級(jí)碗上下注,其中或許蘊(yùn)藏著人生啟示。金融服務(wù)公司PEAK6 Investments的聯(lián)合創(chuàng)始人珍妮·賈斯特一直堅(jiān)信:博彩(尤其是撲克牌桌上的博弈)是學(xué)習(xí)在信息不完全的情況下做出高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)決策的速成課。這項(xiàng)技能本可以加速她的成功之路。
賈斯特近日在接受CNBC采訪時(shí)表示:“我想如果早學(xué)會(huì)打撲克,我的職業(yè)生涯或許可以減少十年損失。”
她補(bǔ)充說(shuō):“經(jīng)歷的牌局越多,我的認(rèn)知越深刻,學(xué)到的知識(shí)越豐富,‘基礎(chǔ)能力’就越強(qiáng),這會(huì)在我理解的情境中限制下行風(fēng)險(xiǎn),同時(shí)打開(kāi)上行空間。而撲克本可以讓我積累更多實(shí)戰(zhàn)經(jīng)驗(yàn)。”
在她看來(lái),這些反復(fù)練習(xí)能鍛造出適用于商業(yè)的能力:權(quán)衡概率、管理風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、配置資本,以及在結(jié)果波動(dòng)時(shí)保持情緒穩(wěn)定。
賈斯特坦言:“我向來(lái)都不以耐心著稱。事實(shí)就是如此,當(dāng)你開(kāi)始打撲克時(shí),你會(huì)對(duì)自己的身體和精神狀態(tài)產(chǎn)生強(qiáng)烈的自我認(rèn)知,而在其他地方幾乎無(wú)法以這種方式考驗(yàn)自己。”
年輕男性沉迷體育博彩與預(yù)測(cè)市場(chǎng)是一把雙刃劍
從密歇根大學(xué)(University of Michigan)畢業(yè)后,賈斯特進(jìn)入芝加哥期權(quán)交易所(Chicago Board Options Exchange),成為一名期權(quán)交易員。她常是交易大廳里為數(shù)不多的女性之一,也注意到身邊不少男性在承擔(dān)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)時(shí)更加從容。她認(rèn)為這種自信,部分源于他們?cè)缒昃徒佑|過(guò)撲克之類的策略游戲。
她表示:“撲克可以成為商業(yè)、理財(cái)乃至人生的出色訓(xùn)練工具,或者是你工具箱里的一件利器。但眼下,男性正在使用這件工具,而女性卻很少利用。”
長(zhǎng)期以來(lái),牌桌上的男性人數(shù)遠(yuǎn)超女性。如今隨著體育博彩和預(yù)測(cè)市場(chǎng)的迅速增長(zhǎng),年輕男性在概率計(jì)算和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)判斷方面,獲得了更多非正式的實(shí)戰(zhàn)練習(xí)。
這種經(jīng)驗(yàn)差距可能至關(guān)重要。根據(jù)紐約聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行(Federal Reserve Bank of New York)2022年發(fā)布的一項(xiàng)研究,在職業(yè)交易員中,更高水平的戰(zhàn)略成熟度,即預(yù)判他人行為并據(jù)此制定策略的能力,往往與更高的盈利能力相關(guān)。
而且,賈斯特認(rèn)為,除金融領(lǐng)域之外,從容應(yīng)對(duì)不確定性的能力,幾乎在任何職業(yè)中都同樣珍貴。
2020年,賈斯特與女兒茱麗葉特共同創(chuàng)立了Poker Power公司,通過(guò)撲克游戲向女性傳授自信與商業(yè)技能。她在2023年接受《時(shí)代》雜志采訪時(shí)表示:“我的目標(biāo)是讓女孩們?cè)诼殘?chǎng)起步階段就掌握這些技能,因?yàn)橥瑫r(shí)期的男性已經(jīng)能夠?yàn)橄乱环莨ぷ鲝娜莩袚?dān)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。世界會(huì)不斷變化和演進(jìn),我只是不希望女性總是處在被動(dòng)的位置。她們必須學(xué)會(huì)勇于承擔(dān)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。”
但她也強(qiáng)調(diào),盡管打撲克等博彩活動(dòng)可能帶來(lái)好處,賭博本身是一把雙刃劍。
根據(jù)美國(guó)問(wèn)題賭博委員會(huì)(National Council on Problem Gambling)發(fā)布的2025年報(bào)告,近2,000萬(wàn)美國(guó)成年人在過(guò)去一年中“多次”出現(xiàn)至少一種問(wèn)題賭博行為。
《財(cái)富》雜志已就此聯(lián)系賈斯特尋求進(jìn)一步回應(yīng)。
成功人士的撲克哲學(xué)共鳴
認(rèn)為撲克可以兼具商業(yè)訓(xùn)練價(jià)值的,并非只有賈斯特一人。
風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資機(jī)構(gòu)凱鵬華盈(Kleiner Perkins)的合伙人莉·瑪麗·布拉斯韋爾近日對(duì)《財(cái)富》雜志表示,她最初是在量化交易公司Jane Street實(shí)習(xí)時(shí)學(xué)會(huì)了打撲克。
布拉斯韋爾表示:“我們?cè)诩~約時(shí),從不去外面參加派對(duì),而是待在家里打撲克。”
后來(lái),她加入了麻省理工學(xué)院撲克俱樂(lè)部,并在那里與汪滔同桌打牌。汪滔是Scale AI的創(chuàng)始人,如今負(fù)責(zé)Meta的AI業(yè)務(wù)。打撲克起初只是社交活動(dòng),后來(lái)逐漸融入了布拉斯韋爾的職業(yè)生活。在Scale任職期間,她經(jīng)常與汪滔一起在晚上組織牌局,如今她延續(xù)了這一傳統(tǒng),用來(lái)建立人脈、尋找交易機(jī)會(huì)和幫助投資組合公司招聘人才。
布拉斯韋爾表示:“撲克帶來(lái)的核心教訓(xùn),也是我作為一名風(fēng)投人最受用的一點(diǎn):當(dāng)勝算在你這邊,就果斷押上全部籌碼。”
已故伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司(Berkshire Hathaway)副董事長(zhǎng)、沃倫·巴菲特最親密的商業(yè)合作伙伴查理·芒格也表達(dá)過(guò)類似觀點(diǎn)。他曾表示,年輕時(shí)打撲克的經(jīng)歷,為他后來(lái)的投資實(shí)踐打下了基礎(chǔ)。
芒格在2000年出版的一本傳記中說(shuō)道:“在軍隊(duì)服役期間、以及初任律師階段打撲克,磨礪了我的商業(yè)技能。”
風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資人查馬斯·帕里哈皮蒂亞也長(zhǎng)期推崇撲克,稱其能有力地鍛煉判斷力。
他在2014年接受《商業(yè)內(nèi)幕》采訪時(shí)表示:“當(dāng)你出錯(cuò)牌、輸?shù)粢痪謺r(shí),那將是一次令人難忘的學(xué)習(xí)機(jī)會(huì)。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
一位白手起家的億萬(wàn)富翁認(rèn)為,如果你昨晚在超級(jí)碗上下注,其中或許蘊(yùn)藏著人生啟示。金融服務(wù)公司PEAK6 Investments的聯(lián)合創(chuàng)始人珍妮·賈斯特一直堅(jiān)信:博彩(尤其是撲克牌桌上的博弈)是學(xué)習(xí)在信息不完全的情況下做出高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)決策的速成課。這項(xiàng)技能本可以加速她的成功之路。
賈斯特近日在接受CNBC采訪時(shí)表示:“我想如果早學(xué)會(huì)打撲克,我的職業(yè)生涯或許可以減少十年損失。”
她補(bǔ)充說(shuō):“經(jīng)歷的牌局越多,我的認(rèn)知越深刻,學(xué)到的知識(shí)越豐富,‘基礎(chǔ)能力’就越強(qiáng),這會(huì)在我理解的情境中限制下行風(fēng)險(xiǎn),同時(shí)打開(kāi)上行空間。而撲克本可以讓我積累更多實(shí)戰(zhàn)經(jīng)驗(yàn)。”
在她看來(lái),這些反復(fù)練習(xí)能鍛造出適用于商業(yè)的能力:權(quán)衡概率、管理風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、配置資本,以及在結(jié)果波動(dòng)時(shí)保持情緒穩(wěn)定。
賈斯特坦言:“我向來(lái)都不以耐心著稱。事實(shí)就是如此,當(dāng)你開(kāi)始打撲克時(shí),你會(huì)對(duì)自己的身體和精神狀態(tài)產(chǎn)生強(qiáng)烈的自我認(rèn)知,而在其他地方幾乎無(wú)法以這種方式考驗(yàn)自己。”
年輕男性沉迷體育博彩與預(yù)測(cè)市場(chǎng)是一把雙刃劍
從密歇根大學(xué)(University of Michigan)畢業(yè)后,賈斯特進(jìn)入芝加哥期權(quán)交易所(Chicago Board Options Exchange),成為一名期權(quán)交易員。她常是交易大廳里為數(shù)不多的女性之一,也注意到身邊不少男性在承擔(dān)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)時(shí)更加從容。她認(rèn)為這種自信,部分源于他們?cè)缒昃徒佑|過(guò)撲克之類的策略游戲。
她表示:“撲克可以成為商業(yè)、理財(cái)乃至人生的出色訓(xùn)練工具,或者是你工具箱里的一件利器。但眼下,男性正在使用這件工具,而女性卻很少利用。”
長(zhǎng)期以來(lái),牌桌上的男性人數(shù)遠(yuǎn)超女性。如今隨著體育博彩和預(yù)測(cè)市場(chǎng)的迅速增長(zhǎng),年輕男性在概率計(jì)算和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)判斷方面,獲得了更多非正式的實(shí)戰(zhàn)練習(xí)。
這種經(jīng)驗(yàn)差距可能至關(guān)重要。根據(jù)紐約聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行(Federal Reserve Bank of New York)2022年發(fā)布的一項(xiàng)研究,在職業(yè)交易員中,更高水平的戰(zhàn)略成熟度,即預(yù)判他人行為并據(jù)此制定策略的能力,往往與更高的盈利能力相關(guān)。
而且,賈斯特認(rèn)為,除金融領(lǐng)域之外,從容應(yīng)對(duì)不確定性的能力,幾乎在任何職業(yè)中都同樣珍貴。
2020年,賈斯特與女兒茱麗葉特共同創(chuàng)立了Poker Power公司,通過(guò)撲克游戲向女性傳授自信與商業(yè)技能。她在2023年接受《時(shí)代》雜志采訪時(shí)表示:“我的目標(biāo)是讓女孩們?cè)诼殘?chǎng)起步階段就掌握這些技能,因?yàn)橥瑫r(shí)期的男性已經(jīng)能夠?yàn)橄乱环莨ぷ鲝娜莩袚?dān)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。世界會(huì)不斷變化和演進(jìn),我只是不希望女性總是處在被動(dòng)的位置。她們必須學(xué)會(huì)勇于承擔(dān)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。”
但她也強(qiáng)調(diào),盡管打撲克等博彩活動(dòng)可能帶來(lái)好處,賭博本身是一把雙刃劍。
根據(jù)美國(guó)問(wèn)題賭博委員會(huì)(National Council on Problem Gambling)發(fā)布的2025年報(bào)告,近2,000萬(wàn)美國(guó)成年人在過(guò)去一年中“多次”出現(xiàn)至少一種問(wèn)題賭博行為。
《財(cái)富》雜志已就此聯(lián)系賈斯特尋求進(jìn)一步回應(yīng)。
成功人士的撲克哲學(xué)共鳴
認(rèn)為撲克可以兼具商業(yè)訓(xùn)練價(jià)值的,并非只有賈斯特一人。
風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資機(jī)構(gòu)凱鵬華盈(Kleiner Perkins)的合伙人莉·瑪麗·布拉斯韋爾近日對(duì)《財(cái)富》雜志表示,她最初是在量化交易公司Jane Street實(shí)習(xí)時(shí)學(xué)會(huì)了打撲克。
布拉斯韋爾表示:“我們?cè)诩~約時(shí),從不去外面參加派對(duì),而是待在家里打撲克。”
后來(lái),她加入了麻省理工學(xué)院撲克俱樂(lè)部,并在那里與汪滔同桌打牌。汪滔是Scale AI的創(chuàng)始人,如今負(fù)責(zé)Meta的AI業(yè)務(wù)。打撲克起初只是社交活動(dòng),后來(lái)逐漸融入了布拉斯韋爾的職業(yè)生活。在Scale任職期間,她經(jīng)常與汪滔一起在晚上組織牌局,如今她延續(xù)了這一傳統(tǒng),用來(lái)建立人脈、尋找交易機(jī)會(huì)和幫助投資組合公司招聘人才。
布拉斯韋爾表示:“撲克帶來(lái)的核心教訓(xùn),也是我作為一名風(fēng)投人最受用的一點(diǎn):當(dāng)勝算在你這邊,就果斷押上全部籌碼。”
已故伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司(Berkshire Hathaway)副董事長(zhǎng)、沃倫·巴菲特最親密的商業(yè)合作伙伴查理·芒格也表達(dá)過(guò)類似觀點(diǎn)。他曾表示,年輕時(shí)打撲克的經(jīng)歷,為他后來(lái)的投資實(shí)踐打下了基礎(chǔ)。
芒格在2000年出版的一本傳記中說(shuō)道:“在軍隊(duì)服役期間、以及初任律師階段打撲克,磨礪了我的商業(yè)技能。”
風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資人查馬斯·帕里哈皮蒂亞也長(zhǎng)期推崇撲克,稱其能有力地鍛煉判斷力。
他在2014年接受《商業(yè)內(nèi)幕》采訪時(shí)表示:“當(dāng)你出錯(cuò)牌、輸?shù)粢痪謺r(shí),那將是一次令人難忘的學(xué)習(xí)機(jī)會(huì)。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
If you bet money on last night’s Super Bowl, one self-made billionaire said there might be a lesson there. Jenny Just, cofounder of financial services firm PEAK6 Investments, is a believer that gambling (specifically at the poker table) is a crash course in making high-stakes decisions with incomplete information—a skill that she said could have sped up her success.
“I think I could have saved 10 years of losses off my career if I had learned poker sooner,” Just recently told CNBC.
“The more I get reps in, the more I understand, the more I learn, the more my baseline grows—limiting my downside in certain scenarios that I understand and opening up the upside,” Just added. “And poker would have just given me more reps.”
Those repetitions, she said, build muscles that translate directly to business: weighing probabilities, managing risk, allocating capital, and staying emotionally steady when outcomes swing.
“I’m not known for my patience at all,” Just said. “It’s real, you have a lot of self-awareness when you start to play poker, about your physical self, about your mental self, and you don’t test yourself in that way anywhere else.”
Gen Z men’s addiction to sports gaming and prediction markets is a double-edged sword
After graduating from the University of Michigan, Just started her career as an options trader on the Chicago Board Options Exchange. She was frequently one of the only women on the trading floor, and she noticed many of the men around her seemed more comfortable taking risks—confidence she credits in part to earlier exposure to strategy games like poker.
“Poker can be an incredible training tool, or piece of your toolkit for business, for money, for life,” she said. “And right now, men are using it, and women are not.”
Men have long outnumbered women by wide margins at the poker table, and young men today are arguably getting even more informal practice with probability and risk thanks to the rapid growth of sports betting and prediction markets.
That experience gap can matter. Having higher strategic sophistication, meaning how well you can anticipate the acts of others and plan accordingly, can correlate to higher profits among professional traders, according to a 2022 study from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
And beyond finance, Just argues that comfort with uncertainty is valuable in almost any career.
In 2020, Just and her daughter Juliette launched Poker Power, a company designed to teach confidence and business skills to women through the game. “My goal is to get girls learning before that first rung on the ladder, where the guy already has comfort taking the risk for the next job,” she said to Time in 2023. “The world is going to change and evolve. I just don’t want women in the back seat. They are going to have to take risks with things.”
But despite its potential benefits, poker and other gambling activities are a double-edged sword.
Nearly 20 million American adults had at least one problematic gambling behavior “many times” in the past year, according to a 2025 report from National Council on Problem Gambling. Anyone struggling with a gambling problem can call 1-800-MY-RESET or visit https://www.ncpgambling.org/help-treatment/.
Fortune reached out to Just for further comment.
Like Jenny Just, Alexandr Wang and Charlie Munger believe in the power of poker
Just is hardly alone in arguing that poker can double as business training.
Leigh Marie Braswell, a partner at venture capital firm Kleiner Perkins, recently told Fortune she first learned the game as an intern at Jane Street, a quantitative trading firm.
“We didn’t go out and party in New York—we stayed in and played poker,” Braswell said.
She later joined the MIT Poker Club, where she played alongside Alexandr Wang, the founder of Scale AI who now leads Meta’s AI efforts. What started as a social activity eventually became embedded in her professional life. Braswell regularly hosted poker nights with Wang while she worked at Scale, and she continues the tradition today as a way to build relationships, source deals, and help portfolio companies recruit.
“The core lesson from poker,” Braswell said, “and it’s something I’m grateful for as a VC: If the odds are in your favor, you push your chips to the center.”
Charlie Munger, the late vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett’s top closest business partner, voiced a similar view. Playing poker as a young person, he said, helped lay the foundation for his investing practices.
“Playing poker in the Army and as a young lawyer honed my business skills,” Munger said in a biography released in 2000.
Venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya has also long praised the game as a powerful teacher of judgment.
He told Business Insider in 2014: “When you misplay your cards and lose a big hand, it’s an unbelievable moment of learning.”