
新年伊始,特朗普總統向美國石油公司開放委內瑞拉市場,又對格陵蘭潛在的油氣和關鍵礦產資源念念不忘,美國頁巖油生產商卻愈發惱火。因為特朗普更重視海外能源,卻不關注他們日益下滑的利潤。
美國石油產量逼近歷史峰值,然而隨著油價疲軟和鉆探活動減弱,特朗普那句“鉆油啊,使勁鉆!”口號已失去實際意義。特朗普壓低汽油價的執念確實奏效,主要因為歐佩克如他所愿提高了產量。但低廉的燃油價格讓利潤微薄的美國石油生產商陷入困境。
“我覺得大家都有些被輕視了,”一家美國大型石油生產商首席執行官對《財富》表示。為避免遭到特朗普政府的潛在報復,該人士要求匿名。
當前美國原油基準價格略低于每桶60美元。低于這一價格,多數美國石油生產商就難以盈利,也很難啟動新鉆井。截至1月16日,美國活躍石油鉆井數年內已驟降約15%。由于此前鉆井作業積累和效率提升,產量達到每日1380萬桶的高位,也是油價走低的重要因素。不過,特朗普政府加速能源項目審批,放寬環保監管的舉措讓從業者略感欣慰。
與此同時,特朗普正敦促美國企業進軍委內瑞拉,計劃投入逾1,000億美元重建當地破敗的基礎設施,提高委內瑞拉重質原油的產量。
“未來半年委內瑞拉賺的錢將超過去20年總和。各大石油公司都將和我們一起進軍委內瑞拉,”特朗普1月21日在瑞士達沃斯世界經濟論壇上放話。
他還稱,在美國“汽油均價很快將跌破每加侖2美元。”本周美國普通無鉛汽油均價為每加侖2.76美元,較去年同期下跌32美分。
白宮發言人泰勒?羅杰斯表示:“多虧特朗普總統的能源主導議程,石油和天然氣產量創歷史新高。特朗普總統與委內瑞拉達成歷史性協議,為美國石油企業投資全球最大的石油儲備區創造了前所未有的新機遇。”
Raymond James能源主管馬歇爾?阿德金斯說,一方面是油價低迷,另一方面特朗普急著在歐佩克以及委內瑞拉在內的各國“按下增產按鈕”,都讓美國頁巖油生產商倍感沮喪。
“特朗普態度很明確,他要壓低油價,”阿德金斯說,“這對美國生產商不利。”
得克薩斯州米德蘭一家小型石油生產商首席執行官認為,特朗普的石油相關言論令人惱火,把獲取原油作為武力推翻委內瑞拉總統尼古拉斯?馬杜羅的主要理由更是 “可恥”。
“特朗普的說辭很煩人,不過都是空話而已,”這位首席執行官也要求匿名,稱委內瑞拉石油產量要提升到能影響價格的水平還需要數年。他表示當前的油價已造成嚴重傷害。
“非常糟糕,”他說起西德克薩斯州二疊紀盆地(Permian Basin)油氣產區現狀時說,“從基本面來看,已不支持繼續鉆井采油。”
委內瑞拉原油夢
阿德金斯表示,或許有些動作快的小公司計劃進軍委內瑞拉,但特朗普真想推動市場,仍需石油巨頭砸下數百億。而埃克森美孚(Exxon Mobil)首席執行官達倫?伍茲近期已對特朗普直言,委內瑞拉目前“不具備投資價值”。
哪些企業會去委內瑞拉?
雪佛龍(Chevron)肯定會去。憑借特別許可證,雪伏龍是目前唯一在當地開采石油的美國公司。雪佛龍副董事長馬克·尼爾森告訴特朗普,兩年內可將產量提高50%。但如此也僅能將委內瑞拉石油日產量從近100萬桶提高到110多萬桶,而該國擁有全球最大探明儲量,日產量峰值曾接近400萬桶。
油田服務鉆井公司也渴望重返委內瑞拉,畢竟只是服務商,不需要投資數千億美元。
哈利伯頓公司(Halliburton)首席執行官杰夫·米勒在1月21日財報電話會上表示,可根據需要“迅速擴大規模。”
“咨詢委內瑞拉業務的電話都快打爆了,”他也坦言,與十年前相比委內瑞拉石油市場已“大幅縮水”。
油田服務公司Intelligent Water Solutions總裁杜安·格爾梅尼斯不會回去,他曾在委內瑞拉斷斷續續工作過,近20年前石油資產被政府征收。他表示愿意向前往委內瑞拉的美國石油公司出售設備,但不會在當地經營。
“委內瑞拉確實還有大量石油資源待開發,但有何安全保障?”格爾梅尼斯告訴《財富》,“這個國家欠了很多供應商巨額款項,永遠也收不回來。”
還有一些私營美國石油生產商如希爾科普(Hilcorp)和阿姆斯特朗油氣公司(Armstrong Oil & Gas),其負責人曾向特朗普表示有意投資委內瑞拉市場。不過《財富》多次聯系置評均未獲得回應。
反倒是歐洲巨頭可能成為委內瑞拉核心投資方。白宮一次會議上,殼牌(Shell)首席執行官瓦埃爾?薩萬直言,殼牌在委內瑞拉有“價值數十億美元的投資機會”。
西班牙雷普索爾(Repsol)與意大利埃尼(Eni)已通過合資形式進駐委內瑞拉,為該國大部分電力供應提供天然氣。兩家企業均表示,若獲得美國許可,很樂意擴大原油產量。
雷普索爾首席執行官何塞·喬恩·伊馬茲表示,三年內可將目前相對較小的每日4.5萬桶產量翻兩倍。
“我們也準備好與美國企業合作,借助美國企業的優秀投資者和專業技術加速開發,”埃尼首席執行官克勞迪奧?德斯卡爾齊告訴特朗普。(財富中文網)
譯者:梁宇
審校:夏林
新年伊始,特朗普總統向美國石油公司開放委內瑞拉市場,又對格陵蘭潛在的油氣和關鍵礦產資源念念不忘,美國頁巖油生產商卻愈發惱火。因為特朗普更重視海外能源,卻不關注他們日益下滑的利潤。
美國石油產量逼近歷史峰值,然而隨著油價疲軟和鉆探活動減弱,特朗普那句“鉆油啊,使勁鉆!”口號已失去實際意義。特朗普壓低汽油價的執念確實奏效,主要因為歐佩克如他所愿提高了產量。但低廉的燃油價格讓利潤微薄的美國石油生產商陷入困境。
“我覺得大家都有些被輕視了,”一家美國大型石油生產商首席執行官對《財富》表示。為避免遭到特朗普政府的潛在報復,該人士要求匿名。
當前美國原油基準價格略低于每桶60美元。低于這一價格,多數美國石油生產商就難以盈利,也很難啟動新鉆井。截至1月16日,美國活躍石油鉆井數年內已驟降約15%。由于此前鉆井作業積累和效率提升,產量達到每日1380萬桶的高位,也是油價走低的重要因素。不過,特朗普政府加速能源項目審批,放寬環保監管的舉措讓從業者略感欣慰。
與此同時,特朗普正敦促美國企業進軍委內瑞拉,計劃投入逾1,000億美元重建當地破敗的基礎設施,提高委內瑞拉重質原油的產量。
“未來半年委內瑞拉賺的錢將超過去20年總和。各大石油公司都將和我們一起進軍委內瑞拉,”特朗普1月21日在瑞士達沃斯世界經濟論壇上放話。
他還稱,在美國“汽油均價很快將跌破每加侖2美元。”本周美國普通無鉛汽油均價為每加侖2.76美元,較去年同期下跌32美分。
白宮發言人泰勒?羅杰斯表示:“多虧特朗普總統的能源主導議程,石油和天然氣產量創歷史新高。特朗普總統與委內瑞拉達成歷史性協議,為美國石油企業投資全球最大的石油儲備區創造了前所未有的新機遇。”
Raymond James能源主管馬歇爾?阿德金斯說,一方面是油價低迷,另一方面特朗普急著在歐佩克以及委內瑞拉在內的各國“按下增產按鈕”,都讓美國頁巖油生產商倍感沮喪。
“特朗普態度很明確,他要壓低油價,”阿德金斯說,“這對美國生產商不利。”
得克薩斯州米德蘭一家小型石油生產商首席執行官認為,特朗普的石油相關言論令人惱火,把獲取原油作為武力推翻委內瑞拉總統尼古拉斯?馬杜羅的主要理由更是 “可恥”。
“特朗普的說辭很煩人,不過都是空話而已,”這位首席執行官也要求匿名,稱委內瑞拉石油產量要提升到能影響價格的水平還需要數年。他表示當前的油價已造成嚴重傷害。
“非常糟糕,”他說起西德克薩斯州二疊紀盆地(Permian Basin)油氣產區現狀時說,“從基本面來看,已不支持繼續鉆井采油。”
委內瑞拉原油夢
阿德金斯表示,或許有些動作快的小公司計劃進軍委內瑞拉,但特朗普真想推動市場,仍需石油巨頭砸下數百億。而埃克森美孚(Exxon Mobil)首席執行官達倫?伍茲近期已對特朗普直言,委內瑞拉目前“不具備投資價值”。
哪些企業會去委內瑞拉?
雪佛龍(Chevron)肯定會去。憑借特別許可證,雪伏龍是目前唯一在當地開采石油的美國公司。雪佛龍副董事長馬克·尼爾森告訴特朗普,兩年內可將產量提高50%。但如此也僅能將委內瑞拉石油日產量從近100萬桶提高到110多萬桶,而該國擁有全球最大探明儲量,日產量峰值曾接近400萬桶。
油田服務鉆井公司也渴望重返委內瑞拉,畢竟只是服務商,不需要投資數千億美元。
哈利伯頓公司(Halliburton)首席執行官杰夫·米勒在1月21日財報電話會上表示,可根據需要“迅速擴大規模。”
“咨詢委內瑞拉業務的電話都快打爆了,”他也坦言,與十年前相比委內瑞拉石油市場已“大幅縮水”。
油田服務公司Intelligent Water Solutions總裁杜安·格爾梅尼斯不會回去,他曾在委內瑞拉斷斷續續工作過,近20年前石油資產被政府征收。他表示愿意向前往委內瑞拉的美國石油公司出售設備,但不會在當地經營。
“委內瑞拉確實還有大量石油資源待開發,但有何安全保障?”格爾梅尼斯告訴《財富》,“這個國家欠了很多供應商巨額款項,永遠也收不回來。”
還有一些私營美國石油生產商如希爾科普(Hilcorp)和阿姆斯特朗油氣公司(Armstrong Oil & Gas),其負責人曾向特朗普表示有意投資委內瑞拉市場。不過《財富》多次聯系置評均未獲得回應。
反倒是歐洲巨頭可能成為委內瑞拉核心投資方。白宮一次會議上,殼牌(Shell)首席執行官瓦埃爾?薩萬直言,殼牌在委內瑞拉有“價值數十億美元的投資機會”。
西班牙雷普索爾(Repsol)與意大利埃尼(Eni)已通過合資形式進駐委內瑞拉,為該國大部分電力供應提供天然氣。兩家企業均表示,若獲得美國許可,很樂意擴大原油產量。
雷普索爾首席執行官何塞·喬恩·伊馬茲表示,三年內可將目前相對較小的每日4.5萬桶產量翻兩倍。
“我們也準備好與美國企業合作,借助美國企業的優秀投資者和專業技術加速開發,”埃尼首席執行官克勞迪奧?德斯卡爾齊告訴特朗普。(財富中文網)
譯者:梁宇
審校:夏林
While President Donald Trump began his new year opening Venezuela to U.S. oil companies and pining over Greenland’s potential oil and critical mineral reserves, American shale producers became increasingly miffed over the commander-in-chief’s focus on international energy as opposed to their declining domestic profits.
Although the U.S. is, in fact, churning out barrels of oil near all-time highs, Trump’s “Drill, baby, drill” ethos is ringing hollow amid weaker oil prices and waning drilling activity. The president’s fixation on lower prices at the pump is working in his favor—largely because of higher OPEC output, as he desired. But cheap fuel proves a detriment to U.S. oil producers struggling to turn a profit for their crude.
“I think everyone feels a bit slighted here,” the CEO of one big U.S. oil producer told Fortune, requesting confidentiality to avoid any potential reprisal from the Trump administration.
The U.S. benchmark for crude oil is sitting at just under $60 per barrel, the threshold below which American oil producers struggle to profit and justify new activity. And the number of active oil-drilling rigs has plunged about 15% for the year as of Jan. 16. Despite all that, previous drilling activity and oilfield efficiency gains have pushed domestic oil production near world-leading, all-time highs of 13.8 million barrels a day—a stubbornly high level that’s contributing to lower oil prices. U.S. producers are at least pleased that Trump has expedited green-lighting energy projects and rolled back environmental protections.
At the same time, Trump is urging U.S. companies to move into Venezuela and spend more than $100 billion to rebuild its dilapidated infrastructure and pump more heavy Venezuelan crude oil.
“Venezuela is going to make more money in the next six months than they’’ve made in the last 20 years. Every major oil company is coming in with us,” Trump said Jan. 21 at the World Economic Forum meeting in Davos, Switzerland.
In the U.S., Trump said, “we’ll soon be averaging less than $2 a gallon.” The U.S. average for a gallon of regular unleaded fuel is $2.76 per gallon this week, down 32 cents in a year.
White House spokesperson Taylor Rogers said, “Thanks to President Trump’s energy dominance agenda, oil and gas production is at an all-time high. President Trump’s historic energy deal with Venezuela has unlocked a new, unprecedented opportunity for oil companies to invest in the world’s largest oil reserve.”
Marshall Adkins, head of energy for Raymond James, said U.S. shale producers are frustrated by low oil prices and Trump’s eagerness to “press every button” with OPEC and countries around the world, including in Venezuela, to produce more oil.
“Trump has been unequivocal. He wants lower prices,” Adkins said, “and that’s bad for U.S. producers.”
The CEO of a smaller U.S. oil producer in Midland, Texas, said Trump’s oil rhetoric is frustrating and his emphasis on crude oil as a primary reason for forcibly removing Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro was “disgraceful.”
“[Trump’s] messaging is annoying, but it’s just noise,” the CEO said, asking for confidentiality, arguing that increasing Venezuelan oil production enough to notably impact pricing would take years. Oil pricing is already at harmful levels, he said.
“It’s miserable,” he said of West Texas’s Permian Basin. “The fundamentals are negative to keep drilling for oil.”
Crude Venezuelan dreams
While there may be some smaller, fast-moving companies going into Venezuela, Adkins said, Trump really needs the Big Oil giants to invest many billions of dollars there to move the needle. And Exxon Mobil CEO Darren Woods “hit the nail on the head” when he recently told Trump that Venezuela is currently “uninvestable.”
So, who will go into Venezuela?
Chevron, for one, because the oil giant is the only U.S. company currently pumping out oil there thanks to its special license. Chevron vice chairman Mark Nelson told Trump it could hike its oil flows by 50% in less than two years. But that would equate to raising the country’s overall volumes from almost 1 million barrels of oil daily to more than 1.1 million barrels for a country—with the world’s largest proven oil reserves—that peaked decades ago with an output of nearly 4 million barrels.
And oilfield services drillers also are eager to go back—partly because they’re contractors and not the ones investing many billions of dollars.
Halliburton CEO Jeff Miller said on a Jan. 21 earnings call that he can “scale up very quickly” there as needed.
“My phone is ringing off the hook in terms of interest in Venezuela,” Miller said, calling it a “small market” compared with the industry just a decade ago.
Duane Germenis, president of the Intelligent Water Solutions oilfield services firm, used to work in Venezuela periodically before oil assets were expropriated by the government almost two decades ago, but he won’t go back. He said he’s happy to sell equipment to U.S. oil companies going there, but not to operate there.
“There’s a lot of oil to find, but how safe are you going to be?” Germenis told Fortune. “The country already owes many vendors lots of money that they’ll never see.”
The leaders of some privately held U.S. oil producers, such as Hilcorp and Armstrong Oil & Gas, told Trump they’re eager to invest in Venezuela, but those companies did not respond to repeated requests for comment by Fortune.
Instead of U.S. producers, major European players may prove to be key investors in Venezuela. Shell CEO Wael Sawan said at a White House meeting that the Big Oil giant has a “few billion dollars worth of opportunities to invest.”
Likewise, Spain’s Repsol and Italy’s Eni already operate in Venezuela under a joint venture to produce natural gas for much of the country’s domestic electricity. And they said they’d love to produce more crude oil as well with U.S. permission.
Repsol CEO Josu Jon Imaz said the company could triple its relatively small output of 45,000 barrels of oil daily in three years.
“We are also ready to join with American companies in our assets to develop and go faster with good investors and good know-how from the U.S. companies,” Eni CEO Claudio Descalzi told Trump.